San Diego Padres at Seattle Mariners Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Seattle Mariners are playing host to the San Diego Padres at Safeco Field. The first pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET and this interleague showdown will be shown on either RTNW or FSSD.

San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners Odds

Seattle (-160) is hosting this one as the favorite over San Diego (+150) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at -145 for the Padres +1.5 runs and +125 for the Mariners -1.5.

The Mariners are 79-65 straight up (SU) and 69-74 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 11.1 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 13.1 units (ATS). Seattle has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Padres, on the other hand, have gone 58-88 SU this year and are 69-76 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 14.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 29.4 units ATS. San Diego is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Mariners games have an over/under record of 69-72-2 in 2018. San Diego has an over/under record of 69-71-5.

The southpaw Joey Lucchesi will get the start for the visiting Padres. Lucchesi is 7-8 with a 3.59 ERA and 120 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with nine strikeouts and a 1.35 ERA against Seattle this year.

The Mariners will be sending lefty Wade LeBlanc (8-3, 3.56 ERA) to the mound. LeBlanc has 112 punchouts and 33 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.15. LeBlanc hasn’t faced the Padres yet this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.

As a unit, Seattle’s pitching staff has given up 4.4 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.31, a WHIP of 1.26 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.8. The bullpen has a 3.93 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.

The Seattle hitters have put up 4.1 runs per outing, including 3.1 per game over its last 10 games and 2.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .197/.263/.338 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Shortstop Jean Segura and outfielder Mitch Haniger have led the Mariners’ offense this year. Segura is hitting .310/.342/.424 with nine home runs, 60 RBIs, 82 runs and 20 stolen bases, and Haniger is batting .274 with 24 homers, 85 RBIs and 75 runs scored.

In the other dugout, San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 5.17 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 7.33 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.52, along with a K/9 of 10.02.

The Padres offense has slashed .235/.298/.379 on its way to 3.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

First baseman Eric Hosmer and shortstop Freddy Galvis have led San Diego’s offense. Hosmer is slashing .254/.318/.401 with 16 home runs, 62 RBIs and 67 runs scored, while Galvis is hitting .234/.289/.355 with 11 homers, 60 RBIs and 51 runs scored.

The Padres have lost 15.7 units and are 16-29 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 25 of those games, compared to 18 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mariners have lost 2.1 units and are 23-23 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 18 of those games, compared to 27 that went under the total.

San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • San Diego has recorded 18 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Seattle has 12 XBH over its last five.
  • The Padres have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
  • San Diego has posted 19.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.8 over its last five.