San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Milwaukee Brewers are set to play host to the San Diego Padres at Miller Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will be televising this NL matchup and the game is slated to get underway at 8:10 p.m. ET.

San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Milwaukee (-190) is favored against San Diego (+180) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs (-120 for the under and +100 for the over). The game’s most recent runline odds stand at -125 for picking the Padres +1.5 runs and +105 for the Brewers -1.5.

The Padres are 44-70 SU and have gone 53-61 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 14.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 27.1 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 65-50 SU and 60-55 ATS. The team’s gained 13.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.7 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven.

Brewers games have a 52-59-4 over/under record in 2018. San Diego has an over/under record of 53-56-5.

Southpaw Robbie Erlin will get the start for the visiting Padres. Erlin is 2-3 with a 3.34 ERA and 54 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with a 4.91 ERA against Milwaukee this year.

The Brewers are planning to start righty Jhoulys Chacin (10-4, 3.89 ERA), who’s got 106 punchouts and 52 walks, as well as a 1.22 WHIP. Chacin is 0-0 with a 10.80 ERA in one start against San Diego this year.

Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.88, a WHIP of 1.22 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.8. The bullpen has a 3.60 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 10.2 K/9.

The Milwaukee hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.7 per game over its last 10 games and 5.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .240/.314/.469 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Brewers’ offense has been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain. Yelich is slashing .326/.387/.542 with 17 home runs, 59 RBIs, 78 runs and 14 stolen bases, while Cain is batting .293 with eight homers, 30 RBIs, 55 runs and 19 stolen bases.

In the other dugout, San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 5.08 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 7.55 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.53, along with a WHIP of 1.48.

The Padres offense has slashed .233/.298/.369 on its way to 3.8 runs scored per game this season, including 4.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

First baseman Eric Hosmer and shortstop Freddy Galvis have paced San Diego’s hitters. Hosmer is slashing .254/.322/.389 with 10 home runs, 46 RBIs and 49 runs scored, while Galvis (.237/.294/.346) is up to six homers, 42 RBIs and 37 runs scored.

The Padres have lost 5.1 units and are 40-38 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 34 of those games, compared to 41 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers.

San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has cashed in just two of San Diego’s last seven games.
  • The Padres have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
  • San Diego has posted 21.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 24.4 over its last five.