San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The San Diego Padres will be taking on the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. This NL matchup will begin at 4:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports San Diego to catch the action.

San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds Odds

Vegas has listed Cincinnati (-125) as the favorite over San Diego (+115). The total sits at 9 runs and gamblers can wager on the over for -105 or the under for -115. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the odds standing at Padres +1.5 runs (-180) and Reds -1.5 runs (+160).

The Reds are 79-62 against the spread (ATS), but only 60-82 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 11.2 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 2.3 units (ATS). Cincinnati has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Padres are 56-87 SU and have gone 68-74 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 13.7 units for moneyline bettors and 26.9 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven.

Cincinnati games have had an over/under record of 72-65-4 in 2018. The Padres have an over/under record of 66-71-5.

Robbie Erlin is getting the nod for San Diego. The southpaw Erlin is 3-5 with a 3.87 ERA and 75 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with a 6.75 ERA against Cincinnati this year.

The Reds are putting the ball in the hands of righty Matt Harvey (6-8, 4.95 ERA), who’s got 104 strikeouts and 31 walks, as well as a 1.32 WHIP. Harvey is 0-1 with three strikeouts and a 6.43 ERA in one start against San Diego this year.

San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.09 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 7.37 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.59, along with a WHIP of 1.47.

The Padres offense has slashed .235/.298/.378 on its way to 3.8 runs scored per game this season, including 4.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

First baseman Eric Hosmer and shortstop Freddy Galvis have paced San Diego’s hitters. Hosmer is slashing .252/.318/.392 with 14 home runs, 59 RBIs and 64 runs scored, while Galvis (.237/.293/.359) has produced 11 homers, 58 RBIs and 51 runs scored.

For the home team, Cincinnati’s pitchers have yielded 5.2 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 5.21 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.18 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.0 K/9.

Cincinnati’s hitters are putting up 4.5 runs per outing, including 4.8 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .240/.306/.419 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.

Second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza have led the Reds’ hitters this year. Gennett is hitting .317/.364/.507 with 22 home runs, 84 RBIs and 82 runs scored, while Peraza’s line is .289/.329/.408 with 10 homers, 49 RBIs, 74 runs and 20 stolen bases.

The Padres have gained 2.0 units and are 52-45 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 41 of those games, as opposed to 53 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Reds have netted 2.4 units and are 23-15 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 21 of those games, as opposed to 16 which went under the total.

San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Each offenses has recorded 12 extra-base hits over its last five outings.
  • Cincinnati has posted 23 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20 over its last five.
  • The Padres have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit 17 over their last 10.