San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Cincinnati Reds will do battle against the San Diego Padres at Great American Ball Park. This NL showdown will get going at 4:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports San Diego is in line to broadcast the game.

San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds Odds

San Diego (+130) is the underdog to Cincinnati (-140) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Runline odds stand at -170 for picking the Padres +1.5 runs and +150 for the Reds -1.5.

The Padres are 56-88 SU and have gone 68-75 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 14.7 units for moneyline bettors and 28.5 units ATS. San Diego is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Reds, on the other hand, are 61-82 SU and 80-62 ATS. They’ve lost 10.2 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 3.6 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Cincinnati games have an over/under record of 73-65-4 in 2018. San Diego has an over/under record of 67-71-5.

Jacob Nix will get the nod for the visiting Padres. The right-handed Nix is 2-3 with a 4.85 ERA and 11 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Reds this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Reds are sending righty Tyler Mahle (7-9, 4.95 ERA) to the mound. Mahle has 105 strikeouts and 50 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.56. Mahle is 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against San Diego this year.

As a unit, Cincinnati’s pitchers have given up 5.2 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has a 5.19 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.18 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.0 K/9.

Cincinnati’s hitters are putting up 4.5 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 5.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .258/.326/.440 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza have led the charge for the Reds’ batters this year. Gennett is hitting .317/.364/.507 with 22 home runs, 84 RBIs and 82 runs scored, and Peraza is hitting .289 with 10 homers, 49 RBIs, 75 runs and 20 stolen bases.

For the visitors, San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 5.15 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 7.34 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.57, along with a WHIP of 1.47 and a K/9 of 10.03.

Padres hitters have slashed .235/.298/.379 on their way to 3.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

San Diego’s hitters have been paced by first baseman Eric Hosmer and shortstop Freddy Galvis. Hosmer is hitting .252/.318/.397 with 15 home runs, 61 RBIs and 65 runs scored, while Galvis (.235/.291/.357) is up to 11 homers, 58 RBIs and 51 runs scored.

The Padres have gained 1.0 units and are 52-46 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 42 of those games, compared to 53 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 12.6 units and are 57-47 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 52 of those games, as opposed to 49 which went under the total.

San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has cashed in four of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
  • The Padres have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit 13 over their last 10.
  • San Diego has averaged 20.1 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 games and 18.0 over its last five.
  • The Padres have lost three of their last four games SU.