San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The San Diego Padres are heading east to square off against their division rival Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. The action will get underway at 8:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Arizona will be showing the game.

San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

Oddsmakers are listing San Diego (+205) as the underdog to Arizona (-225). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at +100 for over nine runs and -120 for under nine. The game’s runline odds stand at -105 for taking the Padres +1.5 runs and -115 for the Diamondbacks -1.5.

The Diamondbacks are 74-63 straight up (SU) and 69-67 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle much for gamblers, gaining 1.9 units for moneyline bettors and 7.0 units (ATS). The Padres are 54-85 SU and have gone 66-72 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 15.4 units for moneyline gamblers and 26.4 units ATS.

Arizona games have an over/under record of 60-70-6 in 2018. The Padres have an over/under record of 65-68-5.

Bryan Mitchell will get the nod for San Diego. The right-handed Mitchell (0-3, 7.08 ERA) has racked up 23 strikeouts in 48.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Diamondbacks this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Diamondbacks are putting the ball in the hands of righty Zack Godley (14-7, 4.42 ERA), who has 163 strikeouts and 66 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.40. Godley is 2-0 with 24 strikeouts and a 4.67 ERA over three starts against San Diego this year.

As a unit, Arizona’s pitchers have given up 3.8 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.72, a WHIP of 1.21 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.3. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 3.15, a WHIP of 1.21 and a K/9 of 8.2. In 61 games against divisional foes, Diamondbacks starters have an ERA of 3.86 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.74.

The Arizona hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.7 per game against divisional foes and 2.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .184/.240/.331 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Diamondbacks’ offense has been led by first baseman Paul Goldschmidt and left fielder David Peralta. Goldschmidt is hitting .295/.398/.548 with 31 home runs, 78 RBIs and 84 runs scored, while Peralta’s line is .295/.352/.527 with 26 homers, 74 RBIs and 66 runs scored.

In the other dugout, San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.11 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 7.30 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.49, along with a K-per-9 of 9.98.

Padres hitters have slashed .235/.299/.377 on their way to 3.8 runs scored per game this year, including 3.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

First baseman Eric Hosmer and shortstop Freddy Galvis continue to lead San Diego’s hitters. Hosmer is hitting .252/.316/.390 with 13 home runs, 56 RBIs and 60 runs scored, while Galvis (.240/.294/.365) is up to 11 homers, 58 RBIs and 50 runs scored.

The Padres have lost 1.7 units and are 50-45 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 41 of those games, compared to 51 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have netted 5.0 units and are 46-41 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 39 of those games, as opposed to 45 which went under the total.

San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The over has cashed in three of San Diego’s last seven games.
  • San Diego has posted 21.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.2 over its last five.
  • The Padres have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.