San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

Victor TrejosArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Arizona Diamondbacks will head west to PETCO Park to face off against their NL West nemesis San Diego Padres. The matchup will begin at 10:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Arizona will be airing the game.

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres Odds

Vegas is listing San Diego (+135) as the underdog to Arizona (-145). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -125 for over seven runs and +105 for under seven. You can also bet on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at Diamondbacks -1.5 runs (+100) and Padres +1.5 runs (-120).

The Diamondbacks have gone 81-78 SU this year and are 78-81 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 9.8 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, despite having gained 0.8 units ATS. The Padres, on the other hand, are 64-95 SU and 76-83 ATS. The team’s lost 12.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 28.9 units ATS.

San Diego games have had an over/under record of 77-76-6 in 2018. The Diamondbacks have been a decent under bet with a total record of 73-80-6.

Patrick Corbin will get the nod for the visiting Diamondbacks. The left-handed Corbin is 11-7 with a 3.18 ERA and 242 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 19 strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against San Diego this year (two starts).

The Padres will put the ball in the hands of Eric Lauer (6-7, 4.60 ERA, 1.56 WHIP), who’s got 94 strikeouts and 45 walks this season. Lauer is 1-0 with two strikeouts and a 1.80 ERA in one start against Arizona this year.

As a unit, San Diego’s pitchers have given up 4.8 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 5.14, a WHIP of 1.46 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.4. The bullpen has a 3.58 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 10.2 K/9. In 73 games against divisional opponents, Padres starters have an ERA of 5.47 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.46.

The San Diego offense has put up 3.8 runs per contest, including 3.6 per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .243/.282/.362 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Padres’ hitters have been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and shortstop Freddy Galvis. Hosmer is slashing .249/.316/.392 with 17 home runs, 67 RBIs and 71 runs scored, and Galvis has produced a line of .247/.300/.382 with 13 homers, 66 RBIs and 61 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Arizona’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.80 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.30 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.62, along with a WHIP of 1.23 and a K-per-9 of 8.22.

The Diamondbacks offense has slashed .236/.313/.399 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game this season, including 4.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Arizona’s offensive production has been fueled by first baseman Paul Goldschmidt and left fielder David Peralta, who have combined to drive in 170 runs. Goldschmidt is hitting .291/.390/.538 with 33 home runs, 83 RBIs and 95 runs scored. Peralta (.296/.355/.524) is up to 30 homers, 87 RBIs and 75 runs scored.

The Padres have lost 15.8 units and are 20-34 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in 31 of those games, compared to 21 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • The under has hit in three of Arizona’s last seven games.
  • Arizona has posted 16.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.2 over its last five.
  • The Diamondbacks have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit 11 over their last 10.