The Sacramento Kings (18-38) will attempt to put an end to the nine-game winning streak of Houston when they travel to Toyota Center to take on the Rockets (43-13). Houston is a 15-point favorite on the opening line, while the games Over/Under (O/U) opened at 216.5 points. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, February 14, 2018, and it can be seen on ATTSN Southwest.
Sacramento Kings at Houston Rockets ATS Preview
The Kings beat the Dallas Mavericks in their last outing, 114-109. Zach Randolph was the games leading scorer with 22 points on 10-for-15 shooting. The Kings held the Mavericks to an offensive rebounding percentage of 10.8 (below their season average of 17.9) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.609 (above their season average of 0.504).
The last time the Rockets played, they dismantled the Minnesota Timberwolves, 126-108. With 34 points on 10-for-20 shooting, James Harden led Houston in scoring. Houston dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had an extraordinarily low turnover percentage of 5.9 (better than their season average of 12.4) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.627 (above their season average of 0.555). Minnesota recorded marks of 7.8 and 0.512, respectively, for those same stats.
Houston could have their way on the offensive side of the ball as their prolific offense faces off against one of the NBA’s worst defenses. The Rockets currently rank second in offensive efficiency, while Sacramento ranks 29th in defensive efficiency.
Of Sacramento’s 55 games that accepted bets, 29 have finished over the projected point total, while 28 of Houston’s 55 games have finished under the projected point total. Looking at straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records, the Rockets have a sizable advantage. They are 43-13 SU and 27-27-1 ATS, while the Kings are 18-38 SU and 23-29-3 ATS.
Clint Capela has been superb over the last five games for Houston, averaging 16.8 points, 12.8 rebounds and 2.8 blocks per game.
These teams have already met once this season. In that game, the two teams combined for 205 points, which was under the projected point total of 216.5. The Rockets won 105-100, but were unable to cover as 7-point favorites. The Rockets played a nearly perfect game. They had a ridiculous free throw rate of 0.325 and a turnover percentage of 12.8. For those same stats, the Kings were 0.091 and 15.5, respectively. Capela recorded a double-double with 22 points and 17 rebounds.
Sacramento Kings at Houston Rockets ATS Prediction
Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Rockets, ATS Winner – Rockets, O/U – Over
- The Rockets rank fourth in steals per game (8.6) while the Kings rank 20th in steals allowed per game (8.1).
- Houston ranks 16th in fast break points per game (11.0) while Sacramento ranks 21st in fast break points allowed per game (12.2).
- Houston ranks 17th in assists allowed per game (23.0) while Sacramento ranks 25th (24.3).
- Sacramento is 13-14-3 ATS on the road with 15 overs, 14 unders and 1 push.
- Houston is 11-16-1 ATS at home with 16 overs and 12 unders.
- In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Sacramento is 11-4 and Houston is 19-2.
- When reaching 100 points, the Kings are 13-14 and the Rockets are 42-10.
- The Rockets rank sixth in points off turnovers per game (17.7) while the Kings rank 12th in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.8).
- Houston ranks first in three pointers attempted per game (42.7) while Sacramento ranks 28th (23.2).
- The Rockets rank second in rebounds allowed per game (41.3) while the Kings rank 20th (43.5).
- Sacramento ranks 10th in points allowed in the paint per game (42.7) while Houston ranks 27th (47.8).
- Houston is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in their last five games.
- Over their last five games, Sacramento is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Rockets average margin of victory in their last five games has been 13.8, up from 8.7 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Kings have scored an average of 104.6 points per game (5.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 108.4 points per game (1.5 above their season average).