Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan State Spartans: 10/27/2018 Betting Preview

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The Purdue Boilermakers and Michigan State Spartans are ready to collide on the grass at Spartan Stadium. ESPN will televise the action and kickoff is scheduled for 12:00 p.m. ET.<.

Betting Preview: Michigan State Spartans vs. Purdue Boilermakers

In this Saturday Big Ten game, Michigan State has been projected as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 3 points. The Boilermakers are also receiving +120 moneyline odds while the Spartans are -140. There should be some good in-game betting possibilities for this matchup, and oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 49 points.<.

This game’s over/under was initially placed at 51, but sharp bettors are siding with the under.<.

The Boilermakers have lost 3.0 units so far and are 5-2 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U mark of 4-3.<.

The Spartans are down 2.0 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 2-5 ATS and also have an O/U record of 4-3.<.

The Boilermakers have gone 4-3 straight up (SU), including 3-1 SU against Big 10 opponents. The Spartans are 4-3 SU overall and are also 2-2 SU in conference play.<.

The Boilermakers are coming off a resounding 49-20 victory over Ohio State last week where David Blough completed 25 passes for 378 yards and three touchdowns. D.J. Knox (128 rushing yards on 16 attempts, three TDs) led the running attack. Rondale Moore (12 receptions, 170 yards, two TDs) and Jared Sparks (three catches, 43 yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.<.

Michigan State just dropped a 21-7 game to Michigan. Brian Lewerke completed five-of-25 passes for 66 yards. LJ Scott (25 rushing yards on 10 attempts) handled the running attack while Darrell Stewart Jr. (two receptions, 24 yards) and Connor Heyward (one catch, eight yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.<.

Purdue’s run the ball on 46.0 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Michigan State has a rush percentage of 48.3 percent. The Boilermakers have run for 176.7 yards/game (including 194.5 per game against Big Ten opponents) and have 14 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Spartans are putting up 107.6 rushing yards per game (91.3 in conference) and have 10 total rush TDs.<.

If the results so far this season can translate to this game, then the Boilermakers should own the edge along both the offensive and defensive fronts, as their offensive line has allowed just 33 sacks while the D-line logged 29 sacks. The Spartans, on the other hand, have given up 21 sacks and their defense has generated only 27 sacks.<.

The Boilermakers offense has averaged a superb 337.6 yards in the air overall (340.0 per game against conference opposition) and has 16 passing TDs so far. The Spartans have put up 244.0 pass yards per outing (231 in the Big 10) and have nine total pass scores.<.

Purdue has let opponents rush for an average of 136.7 yards and pass for 296.4 yards per game. The Michigan State defense has allowed 275.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 79.6 yards per game on the ground. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Boilermakers have given up an ANY/A of 5.68 to opposing QBs, while the Spartans are yielding an ANY/A of 5.61.<.

Blough has been more effective than Lewerke of late, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 8.75for the season and 9.64 over his last two outings. Lewerke’s ANY/A is 5.41 for the year and 3.56 over his last two games.<.

These two conference adversaries did not get a chance to play each other in 2017.<.

Purdue Boilermakers at Michigan State Spartans NCAA Tip

SU Winner: Purdue, ATS Winner: Purdue, O/U: Over<.

Team Betting Notes,

  • The Purdue defense has 18 sacks on the year while Michigan State has 16.
  • Both offenses have lost four fumbles this season.
  • The Boilermakers offense has created 12 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Spartans have put up one such play.
  • The Purdue defense has allowed five pass plays of 40+ yards, while Michigan State has given up three such plays.
  • The Purdue offense has created 14 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Michigan State has created five such runs.
  • The Boilermakers defense has allowed seven rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Spartans have given up three such runs.
  • Purdue has produced 5.2 yards per carry over its past three games and 5.3 over its last two.
  • Michigan State has averaged 2.8 yards per carry over its last three contests and 2.3 over its last two.