Purdue Boilermakers vs. Boston College Eagles NCAA Football ATS Pick

Victor TrejosArticles, College Football, Football

The No. 23 Boston College Eagles (-6) are heading west to face the Purdue Boilermakers at Ross-Ade Stadium. ESPN2 will broadcast the action and this afternoon game is scheduled to kick off at 12:00 p.m. ET.

Betting Preview: Boston College Eagles vs. Purdue Boilermakers

Purdue is playing the role of underdog and is currently getting 6 points in this Saturday game. The Eagles are also receiving -240 moneyline odds while the Boilermakers are +190. If one program catches a lucky break early it will generate a nice in-game betting opportunity. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 63 points.

After the game’s over/under was initially set at 65, the under has been receiving most of the early sharp action.

The Eagles have gained 1.0 unit so far and are 3-0 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U record of 3-0.

The underwhelming Boilermakers have lost 10.6 units this season. The team is 1-2 ATS and has an O/U record of 2-1.

The Eagles have gone 3-0 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Boilermakers are 0-3 SU.

The Eagles are looking to remain unbeaten following a 41-34 win over Wake Forest last week where Anthony Brown completed 16-of-25 passes for 304 yards and five touchdowns. AJ Dillon (185 rushing yards on 33 attempts, one TD) led the running attack in the win. Jeff Smith (six receptions, 145 yards, two TDs) and Tommy Sweeney (five catches, 58 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties.

Purdue most recently lost a 40-37 game to Missouri. The defense let the Tigers pass for 375 yards and three touchdowns while rushing for 233 yards. Larry Rountree III had a productive showing, recording 168 rushing yards on 23 attempts for Missouri. For Purdue, David Blough completed 39-of-55 passes for 572 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. D.J. Knox (23 rushing yards on seven attempts) led the ground game in the defeat while Rondale Moore (11 receptions, 137 yards, one TD) and Jared Sparks (six catches, 51 yards) led the pass-catching attack.

Boston College’s run the ball on 68.4 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Purdue has a rush percentage of 39.9 percent. The Eagles have produced 285.7 rush yards per game and have eight touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Boilermakers are putting up 195.0 rush yards per game and have four total rushing TDs.

The Eagles offensive scheme has tallied 291.7 yards/contest through the air overall and has 13 passing scores so far. The Boilermakers have recorded 325.7 pass yards per contest and have five total pass TDs.

Boston College seems to have an advantage when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed opponents to run for an average of 164.0 yards and pass for 176.7 yards per game. The Purdue defense has allowed 319.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 156.0 yards per game to opposing runners. The Eagles are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 2.35 to opponents, while the Boilermakers have given up a 7.48 ANY/A.

Offensively, Brown has put up 583 passing yards on the year. The signal-caller has completed 67 percent of his 46 attempts with nine scores through the air and has yet to throw an interception. He’s got a pristine 16.19 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 15.17 over the last two outings.

In the host locker room, David Blough has connected on 51-of-71 passes for 646 yards, three TDs and one INT. Blough’s ANY/A stands at 8.92 for the season and 9.52 over his past two outings.

Boston College Eagles at Purdue Boilermakers NCAA Prediction

SU Winner: Purdue, ATS Winner: Purdue, O/U: Under

Team Betting Trends

  • Both teams have lost two fumbles this season.
  • The Boston College defensive unit has 11 sacks on the year while Purdue has seven.
  • Boston College, as a team, has averaged 6.1 yards per carry over its last two contests.
  • Purdue has averaged 6.6 yards per carry over its last two.