Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres Free Pick

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The San Diego Padres are trying to avoid their fourth straight loss when they play host to the Pittsburgh Pirates at PETCO Park. This NL matchup starts at 10:10 p.m. ET and fans can catch the game on ATPT and FSSD.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres Odds

Pittsburgh (+125) is the underdog to San Diego (-135) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this night game at 7.5 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). The game’s runline odds stand at -170 for betting the Pirates +1.5 runs and +150 for the Padres -1.5 runs.

The Padres are 22-21 straight up (SU) and 20-22 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 1.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 5.2 units ATS. The Pirates, on the other hand, are 21-19 SU and have gone 22-17 ATS. Overall, the club has accumulated 5.8 units for moneyline bettors in this young season and 2.2 units ATS.

Neither team has been a strong over/under bet this season. Padres games have an over/under record of 19-21-2 thus far in 2019. Pittsburgh has an over/under record of 19-19-1.

The right-handed Trevor Williams will get the start for the visiting Bucs. Williams is 2-1 with a 3.40 ERA and 37 strikeouts. He has yet to face San Diego this year, but he did make two starts against the team in 2018, compiling a 0-1 record with a 6.75 ERA and nine strikeouts.

The Padres are turning to Eric Lauer (2-4, 5.75 ERA). Lauer has 35 strikeouts and 14 walks, along with a 1.45 WHIP. Lauer made two starts against the team in 2018, posting a 0-1 record in 2018, posting a 0-1 record with a 6.52 ERA.

As a unit, San Diego’s pitching staff has given up 4.2 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starters have a 3.79 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.21 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 10.5 K/9.

The San Diego offense is putting up 3.8 runs per outing, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 3.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .243/.280/.370 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Padres’ offense has been led by Eric Hosmer, who is hitting .282/.330/.448 with six home runs, 24 RBIs and 21 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.12 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 7.79 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.73, along with a WHIP of 1.24 and a K-per-9 of 10.68.

Pirates hitters have slashed .240/.303/.378 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Pittsburgh’s offense has been paced by Josh Bell. Bell is slashing .333/.404/.693 with 12 home runs, 39 RBIs and 27 runs scored.

The Padres are coming off of a 2-0 loss against the Dodgers, while the Pirates just lost an 11-1 game to the Diamondbacks.

Pirates vs. Padres Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in four of San Diego’s last seven games.
  • The Pirates have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit 14 over their last 10.
  • The Pirates have an OPS of .681 this season, including an OPS of .607 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Padres’ OPS sits at .698 overall and .728 against lefties.
  • Pittsburgh has recorded 23.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 23.6 over its last five.
  • The Padres have dropped four of their last five games SU.