Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros Matchup

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The Houston Astros will play host to the Pittsburgh Pirates at Minute Maid Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET and this interleague showdown will be shown on ATPT and ATSW.

Pittsburgh Pirates at Houston Astros Odds

Pittsburgh (+225) is entering this game as the underdog against Houston (-250) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total currently stand at -125 for the over and +105 for the under. The game’s runline odds sit at +100 for picking the Pirates +1.5 runs and -120 for the Astros -1.5 runs.

The Astros are 49-30 straight up (SU) and 42-37 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 1.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.2 units ATS. Houston has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Pirates, on the other hand, have gone 36-40 SU this year and are 38-38 ATS. Overall, the club has accumulated 0.8 units for moneyline gamblers, but have lost 7.3 units ATS. Pittsburgh is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has cashed in three of those seven.

Houston games have a 35-42-2 over/under record so far in 2019. Pittsburgh has been a great over bet with a total record of 44-28-4.

Trevor Williams will get the start for the visiting Pirates. The right-handed Williams (2-1, 4.12 ERA) has racked up 49 strikeouts in 59 innings so far. He has yet to face the Astros this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Astros are countering with Gerrit Cole (6-5, 3.54 ERA). Cole has 148 strikeouts and 25 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.02. Cole did not record a start against the Pirates in 2018.

Houston’s pitchers have yielded 3.9 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.72, a WHIP of 1.06 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.4. The bullpen has a 3.73 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 9.7 K/9.

The Houston hitters have put up 5.1 runs per outing, including 5.0 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .285/.354/.514 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

Outfielders Michael Brantley and Josh Reddick have led the Astros’ batters this year. Brantley is hitting .322/.382/.512 with 11 home runs, 43 RBIs and 38 runs scored, and Reddick is batting .297 with nine homers, 28 RBIs and 32 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 5.5 runs per game and its starters own a 5.00 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.37 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.19, along with a WHIP of 1.40 and a K/9 of 9.70.

The Pirates offense has slashed .263/.322/.417 on its way to 4.6 runs scored per game in 2019, including 6.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

First baseman Josh Bell and outfielder Starling Marte continue to lead Pittsburgh’s offense. Bell is slashing .315/.386/.640 with 20 home runs, 66 RBIs and 57 runs scored, while Marte (.279/.321/.475) has produced 11 homers, 38 RBIs, 45 runs and 11 stolen bases.

The Pirates have gained 2.8 units and are 29-28 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 32 of those games, compared to 22 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Astros have lost 6.0 units and are 28-28 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 27 of those games, compared to 28 which went under the total.

Pirates vs. Astros Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in three of Pittsburgh’s last seven games.
  • The Pirates have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Astros have hit 18 over their last 10.
  • The Pirates have an OPS of .739 this season and an OPS of .758 against right-handed pitchers. The Astros’ OPS stands at .820 overall and .790 against righties.
  • Houston has recorded 24 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 25 over its last five.