Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Chicago White Sox will try to avoid losing their fourth consecutive game they play host to the Pittsburgh Pirates at Guaranteed Rate Field. WGN will broadcast this interleague matchup and the action gets underway at 8:10 p.m. ET.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox Odds

Chicago (+130) is coming into this one as the underdog against Pittsburgh (-140) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs. Odds for betting on the games total stand at -110 for both the over and the under. The games runline odds stand at +105 for betting the Pirates -1.5 runs and -125 for the White Sox +1.5.

The Pirates are 19-16 SU and are 19-16 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 2.1 units for moneyline gamblers in the seasons early going and 3.3 units ATS. The White Sox, on the other hand, are 9-23 SU and 16-16 ATS. They’ve lost 12.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.4 units ATS.

White Sox games have an over/under record of 15-15-2 so far in 2018. The Pirates have an over/under record of 17-13-5.

Ivan Nova is getting the nod for Pittsburgh. The right-handed Nova is 2-2 with a 4.01 ERA and 35 strikeouts. He has yet to face the White Sox this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The White Sox are turning to righty Lucas Giolito (1-4, 7.03 ERA), who has 18 strikeouts and 23 walks to his name as well as a WHIP of 1.56. Giolito did not record a start against the Pirates in 2017.

Chicago’s pitchers have given up 5.5 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 5.61, a WHIP of 1.50 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 5.7. The bullpen has a 4.32 ERA, 1.55 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.

Chicago’s offense is putting up 3.9 runs per outing, including 4.2 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .235/.283/.414 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

The White Sox offense has been led by Matt Davidson, who is slashing .257/.372/.574 with nine home runs, 19 RBIs and 16 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 3.95 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 7.18 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.41, along with a K/9 of 9.76.

Pirates hitters have slashed .254/.327/.413 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.5 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the teams last five outings (2-3 SU).

Pittsburgh’s hitters have been led by Francisco Cervelli, who is hitting .301/.391/.559 with five home runs, 22 RBIs and 12 runs scored.

The Pirates just got a 9-0 victory over the Brewers, while the White Sox are coming off of a 5-3 loss against the Twins.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has hit in four of Chicago’s last seven games.
  • The Pirates have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
  • Pittsburgh has averaged 21.3 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 outings and 20.4 over its last five.
  • The White Sox have lost seven of their last eight games SU.