Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Pittsburgh Pirates will play their division rival Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will televise the matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 2:10 p.m. ET.

Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Milwaukee (-150) as the favorite over Pittsburgh (+140). The total sits at 9 runs and bettors can take the over or the under for -110. Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the runline odds coming in at Pirates +1.5 runs (-155) and Brewers +-1.5 runs (+135).

The Pirates have gone 18-16 SU this year and are 18-15 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 2.1 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in this young season and 3.3 units ATS. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 20-14 SU and 18-15 ATS. The team has gained 5.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.3 units ATS.

Milwaukee games have had an over/under record of 13-20 so far in 2018. Pittsburgh has an over/under record of 17-12-4.

Chad Kuhl will get the nod for Pittsburgh. The right-handed Kuhl is 3-2 with a 5.01 ERA and 28 strikeouts. He has yet to face Milwaukee this year, but he made three starts against the Brewers in 2017, putting together a 1-0 record against them with a 2.63 ERA and 15 strikeouts.

The Brewers are putting the ball in the hands of righty Chase Anderson (3-2, 3.38 ERA), who has 27 strikeouts and 14 walks, as well as a 1.13 WHIP. Anderson made three starts against the team in 2017, posting a spotless 3-0 record in 2017, compiling a spotless 3-0 record with a 1.56 ERA and 17 strikeouts.

Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.10 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 7.07 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.49, along with a K-per-9 of 9.45.

The Pirates offense has slashed .252/.325/.405 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 6.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the teams last five outings (1-4 SU).

Pittsburgh’s offensive production been led by catcher Francisco Cervelli and left fielder Corey Dickerson. Cervelli is hitting .303/.396/.573 with five home runs, 22 RBIs and 11 runs scored, while Dickerson has a .303 average with five homers, 22 RBIs and 18 runs scored.

For the home team, Milwaukee’s pitchers have given up 3.6 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.84, a WHIP of 1.29 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 6.5. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.45, a WHIP of 1.10 and a K/9 of 10.4. In 22 games against NL Central opponents, Brewers starters have an ERA of 3.87 and the bullpens ERA is 3.26.

Milwaukee’s hitters have put up 3.9 runs per outing, including 2.8 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .277/.342/.480 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.

The Brewers batters have been led by Lorenzo Cain and Eric Thames. Cain is slashing .274/.390/.442 with four home runs, 10 RBIs, 19 runs and eight stolen bases, and the line for Thames stands at .250/.351/.625 with seven homers, 13 RBIs and 11 runs.

The Pirates have gained 1.5 units and are 15-13 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 12 of those games, compared to 12 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 4.5 units and are 14-10 ATS when facing a righty starter. The overs cashed in nine of those games, compared to 15 that went under the total.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has cashed in three of Pittsburgh’s last seven games.
  • The Brewers have won four of their last five games SU.
  • Pittsburgh has posted 19.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 17.4 over its last five.
  • The Pirates have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.