Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds Free Pick

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The Cincinnati Reds are prepared to battle against the Pittsburgh Pirates at Great American Ball Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and the matchup will be shown on ATPT and FSOH.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds


Pittsburgh (-140) is coming into this one as the favorite against Cincinnati (+130) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs (+105 for the under and -125 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the games runline with the current odds coming in at Pirates -1.5 runs (+105) and Reds 1.5 runs (-125).

The Reds are 16-32 SU and 25-23 ATS. The team has lost 12.4 units for moneyline bettors and 4.5 units against the spread (ATS). The Pirates are 26-20 SU and have gone 22-24 ATS. Overall, the teams accumulated 3.6 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in this young season, but have lost 0.5 units ATS.

Reds games have a 21-25-2 over/under record so far in 2018. Pittsburgh has been a decent over bet with a total record of 24-17-5.

Jameson Taillon will get the start for the visiting Pirates. The right-handed Taillon is 2-3 with a 3.97 ERA and 40 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with seven strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Cincinnati this year (five starts).

The Reds are handing the ball to righty Matt Harvey (0-2, 6.17 ERA), who has 27 punchouts and nine walks to his name, as well as a 1.43 WHIP. Harvey hasn’t faced the Pirates yet this year, but he made two starts against them in 2017, posting a 1-0 record with a 5.73 ERA.

As a unit, Cincinnati’s pitchers have given up 5.2 runs per game overall this year. The clubs starters have a 5.60 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.06 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.8 K/9. In 22 divisional games, Reds starters have an ERA of 6.35 and the bullpens ERA is 4.58.

Cincinnati’s offense has put up 4.0 runs per contest, including 2.7 per game against divisional foes and 2.6 per game over its last five. The teams hit .160/.256/.244 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Joey Votto has helped lead the Reds offense this season with six home runs, 24 RBIs and 22 runs scored. Votto performed well against righties at home in 2017. In 253 such plate appearances, he slashed .347/.490/.648 (compared to his overall season line of .320/.453/.577).

For the visiting squad, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.17 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 7.28 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.91, along with a K/9 of 9.88.

Pirates hitters have slashed .260/.336/.427 on their way to 4.9 runs scored per game this season, including 6.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the teams last five outings (2-3 SU).

Pittsburgh’s hitters have been spearheaded by Starling Marte. Marte is slashing .308/.366/.503 with six home runs, 19 RBIs, 30 runs and 10 steals. He did not do as well hitting against righty pitching on the road last year, putting up a slash line of .250/.289/.317 across 128 such plate appearances (compared to his total season line of .275/.333/.379).

The Pirates just dropped an 8-5 game to the Padres, while the Reds are coming off of a 6-1 loss against the Cubs.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has hit in only two of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
  • The Pirates have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit 11 over their last 10.
  • Cincinnati has recorded 19.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 12.6 over its last five.
  • The Reds have lost three of their last four games SU.