Pittsburgh Pirates at San Diego Padres Betting Preview

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The Pittsburgh Pirates are ready to take on the San Diego Padres in a Friday showdown. This NL matchup gets going at 10:10 p.m. ET and fans can watch it on either ATPT or FSSD.

Pittsburgh Pirates at San Diego Padres Odds

Oddsmakers have listed San Diego (-135) as the favorite over Pittsburgh (+125). The total sits at seven runs and bettors can take the over for -120 and the under for +100. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the current odds coming in at Pirates +1.5 runs (-170) and Padres -1.5 runs (+150).

The Padres are 23-21 straight up (SU) and 20-23 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 0.6 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 6.8 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total went over in four of those seven. The Pirates are 21-20 SU and have gone 22-18 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 4.8 units for moneyline bettors in the season’s early going and 0.8 units ATS. Pittsburgh has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Padres games have an over/under record of 19-22-2 so far in 2019. Pittsburgh has an over/under record of 20-19-1.

The right-handed Jordan Lyles is the probable starter for Pittsburgh. Lyles is 3-1 with a 2.09 ERA and 35 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Padres this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Padres are putting the ball in the left hand of Joey Lucchesi (3-2, 4.57 ERA), who’s got 40 strikeouts and 13 walks as well as a 1.35 WHIP. Lucchesi only made one start against the Pirates in 2018 (1-0, 0.00 ERA and five strikeouts across five innings).

San Diego’s pitchers have yielded 4.2 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.74, a WHIP of 1.21 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.1. The bullpen has a 4.18 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 10.5 K/9.

The San Diego offense has produced 3.8 runs per contest, including 4.1 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .220/.279/.390 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Padres’ batters have been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado. Hosmer is slashing .283/.333/.446 with six home runs, 24 RBIs and 22 runs scored, while Machado’s line is .267/.343/.472 with nine homers, 23 RBIs and 23 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.09 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 7.86 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.78, along with a K/9 of 10.61.

Pirates hitters have slashed .240/.301/.377 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game this year, including 4.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

First baseman Josh Bell and outfielder Melky Cabrera have led Pittsburgh’s offense. Bell is slashing .325/.394/.675 with 12 home runs, 39 RBIs and 27 runs scored. Cabrera (.339/.380/.471) has produced three homers, 12 RBIs and 13 runs scored.

The Pirates have lost 2.4 units and are 5-6 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in seven of those games, compared to four that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Padres have netted 1.8 units and are 14-20 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 15 of those games, compared to 17 that went under the total.

Pirates at Padres MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The under has cashed in three of San Diego’s last seven games.
  • The Pirates have a team OPS of .678 this season and an OPS of .613 against left-handed pitchers. The Padres’ OPS stands at .699 overall and .720 against lefties.
  • The Pirates have lost three of their last four games SU.
  • San Diego has recorded 19.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.6 over its last five.
  • The Pirates have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit 14 over their last 10.