The New York Mets are making a road trip to Pittsburgh to square off against the Pirates at PNC Park. This NL matchup will begin at 7:05 p.m. ET and SportsNet New York will be televising the game.
New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
New York (+165) is entering this one as the underdog to Pittsburgh (-175) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at -135 for the Mets +1.5 runs and +115 for the Pirates -1.5.
The Pirates are 53-50 straight up (SU) and 51-51 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle a lot for gamblers, gaining 3.5 units for moneyline bettors while earning 1.5 units (ATS). On the other hand, the Mets are 42-57 SU and have gone 43-54 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 18.6 units for moneyline gamblers and 16.9 units ATS.
Pirates games have had an over/under record of 49-46-7 in 2018. New York has been a decent under bet with a total record of 42-51-4.
Steven Matz is getting the nod for the visiting Mets. The left-handed Matz is 4-8 with a 3.65 ERA and 88 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 3.86 ERA against Pittsburgh this year.
The Pirates are turning to righty Nick Kingham (5-4, 4.11 ERA), who’s got 54 punchouts and 14 walks as well as a 1.11 WHIP. Kingham hasn’t faced the Mets yet this year and did not accrue any MLB pitching stats in 2017.
Pittsburgh’s pitchers have given up 4.5 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 4.18 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.28 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 10.0 K/9.
Pittsburgh’s hitters have produced 4.5 runs per outing, including 6.5 per game over its last 10 games and 6.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .314/.341/.570 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The Pirates’ offense has been led by outfielders Corey Dickerson and Starling Marte. Dickerson is slashing .318/.351/.517 with 11 home runs, 44 RBIs and 50 runs scored, and Marte’s line is .292/.339/.503 with 16 homers, 54 RBIs, 57 runs and 25 stolen bases.
In the other dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.98 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.98 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.72, along with a K-per-9 of 8.54.
Mets hitters have slashed .227/.309/.377 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game this year, including 4.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
New York’s offense has been fueled by second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario. Cabrera is hitting .273/.324/.473 with 17 home runs, 54 RBIs and 46 runs scored, while Rosario is hitting .249/.292/.380 with four homers, 26 RBIs and 37 runs scored.
The Mets have lost 11.2 units and are 31-40 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 31 of those games, as opposed to 36 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Pirates have lost 4.8 units and are 12-14 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 16 of those games, compared to 10 which went under the total.
New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER