Pittsburgh Pirates at Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Pittsburgh Pirates will be facing off against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. Fox Sports Arizona will be airing this NL matchup and the opening pitch will be at 9:40 p.m. ET.

Pittsburgh Pirates at Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Pittsburgh (+125) as the underdog to Arizona (-135). The total sits at 9 runs and bettors can take the over for -120 and the under for an even +100. Bettors can also wager on the games runline with the current odds standing at -170 for the Pirates +1.5 runs and +150 for the Diamondbacks -1.5.

The Diamondbacks are 36-29 SU and 33-31 ATS. The team has gained 7.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.4 units against the spread (ATS). Arizona has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Pirates have gone 32-34 SU this year and are 29-36 ATS. Overall, the teams lost 3.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 9.3 units ATS. Pittsburgh has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.

Neither team has been a strong over/under bet this season. Diamondbacks games have a 30-32-2 over/under record so far in 2018. The Pirates have an over/under record of 30-29-6.

Trevor Williams will get the start for the visiting Pirates. The right-handed Williams is 5-3 with a 4.18 ERA and 49 strikeouts. He has yet to face Arizona this year, but he did make two starts against the team in 2017, putting together a 1-0 record with a 1.64 ERA and seven strikeouts.

The Diamondbacks are sending righty Clay Buchholz (1-1, 1.88 ERA) to the mound. Buchholz has 21 strikeouts and three walks to his credit, as well as a 0.83 WHIP. Buchholz did not record a start against the Pirates in 2017.

Pittsburgh’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.13 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.65 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.50, along with a K-per-9 of 9.45.

Pirates hitters have slashed .252/.326/.411 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.7 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the teams last five contests (1-4 SU).

Pittsburgh’s offense has been led by outfielders Corey Dickerson and Starling Marte. Dickerson is slashing .313/.347/.472 with five home runs, 32 RBIs and 31 runs scored, while Marte is hitting .283 with seven homers, 27 RBIs, 34 runs and 13 stolen bases.

For the home team, Arizona’s pitching staff has allowed 3.7 runs per game overall in 2018. The clubs starters have an ERA of 3.97, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.2. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.53, a WHIP of 1.11 and a K/9 of 7.8.

Arizona’s hitters have produced 4.3 runs per outing, including 6.9 per game over its last 10 games and 8.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .293/.387/.554 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

Left fielder David Peralta and first baseman Paul Goldschmidt have led the Diamondbacks batters this year. Peralta is hitting .275/.337/.472 with 11 home runs, 31 RBIs and 28 runs scored, while Goldschmidt’s line is .253/.361/.502 with 12 homers, 31 RBIs and 43 runs.

The Pirates have lost 0.9 units and are 24-26 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 20 of those games, as opposed to 24 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have lost 2.9 units and are 19-21 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in 18 of those games, as opposed to 22 that’ve gone under.

Pittsburgh Pirates at Arizona Diamondbacks Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • Pittsburgh has posted 17.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.4 over its last five.
  • The Pirates have hit five home runs in their last 10 games, including three over their last five.