Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Philadelphia Phillies are ready to face the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. This NL showdown gets underway at 8:40 p.m. ET and you can watch it on both ATRM and NSPA.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies Odds

The Rockies are 86-70 straight up (SU) and 80-75 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 15.8 units for moneyline bettors and 3.7 units (ATS). The Phillies have gone 78-78 SU this year and are 71-84 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 5.7 units for moneyline gamblers and 24.1 units ATS.

Colorado games have an over/under record of 64-84-7 in 2018. Phillies games have gone under 79 times, gone over 70 times and pushed on six occasions.

Vince Velasquez will get the nod for the visiting Phillies. The right-handed Velasquez is 9-11 with a 4.59 ERA and 159 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 2.70 ERA against Colorado this year.

The Rockies will turn to righty Chad Bettis (5-2, 5.18 ERA), who’s got 77 strikeouts and 46 walks to his credit as well as a 1.41 WHIP. Bettis hasn’t faced the Phillies yet this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.

Colorado’s pitching staff has yielded 4.6 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starters have a 4.23 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.66 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.0 K/9.

Colorado’s offense is putting up 4.7 runs per outing, including 3.2 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team has hit .237/.348/.296 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

Right fielder Charlie Blackmon and shortstop Trevor Story have led the charge for the Rockies’ offense this year. Blackmon is slashing .287/.356/.489 with 27 home runs, 65 RBIs, 112 runs and 12 stolen bases, and Story’s line is .289/.344/.552 with 33 homers, 102 RBIs, 82 runs and 26 stolen bases.

For the visiting squad, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.06 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.07 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.02, along with a WHIP of 1.25 and a K/9 of 9.08.

The Phillies offense has slashed .236/.316/.395 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game this season, including 3.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (0-5 SU).

Second baseman Cesar Hernandez and right fielder Odubel Herrera continue to lead Philadelphia’s offense. Hernandez is hitting .255/.358/.363 with 14 home runs, 57 RBIs, 88 runs and 19 steals, while Herrera (.256/.313/.424) is up to 22 homers, 68 RBIs and 64 runs scored.

The Phillies have lost 9.4 units and are 54-64 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 52 of those games, compared to 62 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Rockies have netted 10.9 units and are 46-49 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 44 of those games, compared to 47 that’ve gone under.

Philadelphia Phillies at Colorado Rockies Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Rockies, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has hit in four of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
  • Colorado has posted 16.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.0 over its last five.
  • The Phillies have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Rockies have hit two over their last 10.