Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Boston Red Sox are playing host to the Philadelphia Phillies at Fenway Park. This interleague showdown will get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to New England Sports Network to catch the game.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Boston (-145) as the favorite over Philadelphia (+135). The total sits at nine runs and bettors can take the over for +100 and the under for -120. The games most recent runline odds stand at -160 for betting the Phillies +1.5 runs and +140 for the Red Sox -1.5 runs.

The Phillies are 58-46 SU and have gone 48-56 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 11.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline, despite having lost 15.2 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in six of those seven. The Red Sox, on the other hand, are 73-33 SU and 63-43 ATS. They’ve gained 24.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 18.9 units ATS. Boston has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Red Sox games have had an over/under record of 50-53-3 in 2018. Philadelphia has an over/under record of 47-52-5.

The right-handed Aaron Nola is getting the start for the visiting Phils. Nola is 12-3 with a 2.42 ERA and 136 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Red Sox this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Red Sox are sending lefty David Price (11-6, 4.17 ERA) to the hill. Price has 114 punchouts and 35 walks to his name, as well as a 1.22 WHIP. Price only made one start against the Phillies in 2017 (0-0, 4.50 ERA and six strikeouts across six innings).

Boston’s pitching staff has allowed 3.7 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 3.61, a WHIP of 1.20 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.7. The bullpen has a 3.42 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.

Boston’s hitters are putting up 5.3 runs per contest, including 4.7 per game over its last 10 games and 5.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .254/.337/.491 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts have led the Red Sox hitters this year. Martinez is hitting .324/.387/.642 with 32 home runs, 86 RBIs and 76 runs scored, while Betts is batting .346 with 25 homers, 56 RBIs, 83 runs and 20 stolen bases.

In the visiting dugout, Philadelphia’s pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.85 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.00 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.94, along with a WHIP of 1.23 and a K/9 of 9.37.

Phillies hitters have slashed .237/.320/.399 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game this year, including 5.8 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 5.8 per game over the teams last five contests (3-2 SU).

Outfielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez have led Philadelphia’s offense. Herrera is slashing .273/.328/.464 with 19 home runs, 58 RBIs and 53 runs scored, while Hernandez is hitting .269/.374/.374 with eight homers, 35 RBIs, 66 runs and 14 steals.

The Phillies have gained 3.1 units and are 11-12 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 11 of those games, compared to 11 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Red Sox have netted 23.5 units and are 49-30 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in 38 of those games, compared to 39 that’ve cashed the under.

Philadelphia Phillies at Boston Red Sox Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Philadelphia has recorded 23 extra-base hits over its last five games. Boston has 20 XBH over its last five.
  • The Phillies have hit 22 home runs in their last 10 games, including 14 over their last five.
  • Boston has posted 21.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.4 over its last five.