Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Philadelphia Phillies will be taking on their divisional rival Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. ET and FOX Sports South will be showing the matchup.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves Odds

The Braves are 87-68 straight up (SU) and 78-75 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 19.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 0.5 units (ATS). Atlanta has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total has gone over in six of those seven. On the other hand, the Phillies are 78-76 SU and have gone 71-82 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 3.0 units for moneyline gamblers and 21.3 units ATS. Philadelphia is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Atlanta games have a 75-72-6 over/under record in 2018. Philadelphia has been a decent under bet with a total record of 70-77-6.

The right-handed Aaron Nola is getting the start for the visiting Phillies. Nola (16-5, 2.44 ERA) has recorded 210 strikeouts in 199.1 innings so far. He’s 1-1 with nine strikeouts and a 2.95 ERA against Atlanta this year (three starts).

The Braves are going with righty Anibal Sanchez (6-6, 3.01 ERA), who has 127 punchouts and 39 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.10. Sanchez has yet to face the Phillies this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.

Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.03 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.06 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.01, along with a K/9 of 9.09.

Phillies hitters have slashed .236/.317/.396 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game this season, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Philadelphia’s hitters have been led by second baseman Cesar Hernandez and outfielder Odubel Herrera. Hernandez is hitting .255/.359/.364 with 14 home runs, 57 RBIs, 88 runs and 19 stolen bases, while Herrera (.255/.313/.425) has produced 22 homers, 68 RBIs and 64 runs scored.

For the home team, Atlanta’s pitching staff has allowed 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.58, a WHIP of 1.23 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.6. The bullpen has a 4.14 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.8 K/9. In 69 divisional games, Braves starters have an ERA of 3.17 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.93.

Atlanta’s offense is putting up 4.8 runs per contest, including 5.1 per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .250/.361/.378 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.

First baseman Freddie Freeman and right fielder Nick Markakis have led the Braves’ offense this year. Freeman is hitting .311/.390/.507 with 23 home runs, 95 RBIs and 94 runs scored, while Markakis has produced a line of .302/.369/.449 with 14 homers, 93 RBIs and 77 runs.

The Phillies have lost 6.7 units and are 54-62 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 52 of those games, as opposed to 60 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 22.1 units and are 60-49 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 52 of those games, compared to 52 which went under the total.

Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has cashed in five of Philadelphia’s last seven contests.
  • The Philadelphia defense has allowed nine errors over the last 10 games, compared to three errors for Atlanta over its last 10.
  • The Phillies have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit seven over their last 10.