Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Philadelphia Phillies will be taking on the San Francisco Giants at AT&T Park. The game will start at 10:05 p.m. ET and this NL showdown will be televised on both NSP+ and NSBA.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants Odds

San Francisco (+100) is the home-team underdog against Philadelphia (-110) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the most recent runline odds coming in at Phillies -1.5 runs (+135) and Giants +1.5 runs (-155).

The Giants are 27-30 SU and 32-24 ATS. They’ve gained 0.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.6 units against the spread (ATS). San Francisco has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 31-24 SU and have gone 26-28 ATS. Overall, the teams gained 7.0 units for moneyline bettors, but have lost 4.1 units ATS. Philadelphia is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Giants games have a 29-25-2 over/under record thus far in 2018. The Phillies have an over/under record of 24-26-4.

Right-hander Vince Velasquez will get the start for the visiting Phillies. Velasquez is 4-5 with a 4.08 ERA and 70 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 12 strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against San Francisco this year.

The Giants are sending lefty Andrew Suarez (1-4, 5.65 ERA) to the mound. Suarez has 37 strikeouts and eight walks to his name, as well as a 1.36 WHIP. Suarez has yet to face the Phillies this year and did not pitch in the majors in 2017.

As a unit, San Francisco’s pitchers have given up 4.9 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.76 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 7.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.21 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.4 K/9.

The San Francisco hitters are putting up 4.1 runs per outing, including 4.2 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .293/.363/.425 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Giants hitters have been led by shortstop Brandon Crawford and first baseman Brandon Belt. Crawford is slashing .311/.352/.474 with six home runs, 24 RBIs and 24 runs scored, while Belt’s line sits at .307/.403/.547 with 11 homers, 31 RBIs and 32 runs.

For the visiting squad, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.36 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 8.98 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.56, along with a K/9 of 9.28.

Phillies hitters have slashed .236/.320/.390 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 2.9 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 2.8 per game over the teams last five contests (2-3 SU).

Philadelphia’s offense has been led by right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Herrera is hitting .312/.375/.485 with seven home runs, 32 RBIs and 25 runs scored, while Hernandez (.269/.381/.423) has produced seven homers, 21 RBIs, 38 runs and 10 steals.

Compared to his total season slash line of .296/.376/.425, Hernandez did not do especially well against lefties on the road in 2017, maintaining a slash line of just .222/.308/.358 across 91 such plate appearances.

The Phillies have gained 5.3 units and are 8-7 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in six of those games, compared to eight that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Giants have lost 7.0 units and are 17-17 ATS when facing a righty starter. The overs cashed in 15 of those games, compared to 17 that’ve gone under.

Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • Philadelphia has posted 17.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 18.4 over its last five.
  • The Phillies have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Giants have hit 10 over their last 10.