Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Philadelphia Phillies are ready to face the Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium. The game gets underway 10:10 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Philadelphia will be showing this NL matchup.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Los Angeles (-150) as the favorite over Philadelphia (+140). The total is sitting at 7.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for +105 and the under for -125. Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the most recent runline odds coming in at Phillies +1.5 runs (-155) and Dodgers -1.5 runs (+135).

The Phillies are 29-22 SU and have gone 23-27 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 5.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline, despite having lost 5.9 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Dodgers, on the other hand, are 25-28 SU and 21-31 ATS. The teams lost 22.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 11.6 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Los Angeles games have an over/under record of 25-26-1 so far in 2018. The Phillies have an over/under record of 22-25-3.

The right-handed Jake Arrieta is getting the nod for Philadelphia. Arrieta is 4-2 with a 2.45 ERA and 35 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Dodgers this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 6.00 ERA and nine strikeouts over six innings).

The Dodgers are putting the ball in the hands of righty Kenta Maeda (4-3, 3.38 ERA), who’s got 66 punchouts and 17 walks, as well as a 1.24 WHIP. Maeda made two starts against the Phillies in 2017, putting together a 1-0 record with a 3.60 ERA and 11 strikeouts.

Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.33 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 9.04 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.55, along with a K/9 of 9.19.

Phillies hitters have slashed .236/.322/.394 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game this season, including 3.4 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the teams last five contests (2-3 SU).

Philadelphia’s offensive production been led by outfielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez, who collectively have belted 14 home runs. Herrera is slashing .332/.398/.516 with seven home runs, 30 RBIs and 25 runs scored, while Hernandez (.262/.367/.421) is up to seven homers, 20 RBIs, 36 runs and nine steals.

In the other dugout, Los Angeles pitching staff has allowed 3.9 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 3.31, a WHIP of 1.14 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.0. The bullpen has a 3.97 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.

The Los Angeles hitters have produced 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.5 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team has hit .237/.310/.395 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

Outfielders Matt Kemp and Chris Taylor have led the Dodgers hitters this year. Kemp is hitting .338/.368/.531 with six home runs, 26 RBIs and 18 runs scored, while Taylor’s line sits at .243/.332/.442 with seven homers, 19 RBIs and 36 runs scored.

Taylor didn’t do particularly well against right-handed pitchers at home in 2017. Across 193 such plate appearances, he slashed .236/.295/.416 (compared to his total season line of .288/.354/.496).

The Phillies have gained 2.0 units and are 16-20 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 16 of those games, compared to 18 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Dodgers have lost 22.3 units and are 11-22 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in 22 of those games, compared to 11 that’ve cashed the under.

Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • The Phillies have lost three of their last four games SU while the Dodgers have won five of their last six SU.
  • Los Angeles has posted 18.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.0 over its last five.
  • The Phillies have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Dodgers have hit 14 over their last 10.