Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals Matchup

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The Washington Nationals will go for their fourth consecutive win as they play host to the Philadelphia Phillies at Nationals Park. NBC Sports Philadelphia is in line to broadcast the matchup and the game is slated to get underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.

Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals Odds

The Nationals are 35-38 straight up (SU) and 35-36 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 16.1 units for moneyline bettors and 3.4 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 39-34 SU and have gone 36-35 ATS. Overall, the club has accumulated 2.2 units for moneyline gamblers and 0.2 units ATS. Philadelphia’s covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Nationals games have had an over/under record of 37-29-5 so far in 2019. The Phillies have an over/under record of 34-35-2.

Nick Pivetta is getting the nod for the Phils. The right-handed Pivetta is 4-1 with a 5.00 ERA and 43 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with six strikeouts and a 17.18 ERA against Washington this year.

The Nationals are putting the ball in the right hand of Erick Fedde (1-1, 3.68 ERA, 1.25 WHIP), who has 21 strikeouts and 14 walks. Fedde has yet to face the Phillies this year, but he made three starts against them in 2018, compiling a 2-1 record with a 4.32 ERA and 15 strikeouts.

As a unit, Washington’s pitching staff has given up 4.8 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.79 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 6.20 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 9.3 K/9. In 32 games against NL East opponents, Nationals starters have an ERA of 3.14 and the bullpen’s ERA is 8.00.

The Washington hitters are putting up 4.9 runs per contest, including 5.6 per game against divisional foes and 6.6 per game over their last five. The team has hit .278/.335/.549 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

The Nationals’ offense has been led by outfielders Adam Eaton and Juan Soto. Eaton is hitting .280/.365/.399 with six home runs, 19 RBIs and 42 runs scored, while Soto is batting .296 with 11 homers, 42 RBIs and 43 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Philadelphia’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.36 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 8.16 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.69, along with a WHIP of 1.34.

Phillies hitters have slashed .241/.322/.414 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Philadelphia’s offensive production has been led by second baseman Cesar Hernandez and first baseman Rhys Hoskins, who’ve collectively launched 22 home runs. Hernandez is hitting .264/.321/.424 with seven home runs, 33 RBIs and 31 runs scored, while Hoskins is hitting .268/.395/.514 with 15 homers, 49 RBIs and 38 runs scored.

The Phillies have gained 9.4 units and are 27-25 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 23 of those games, compared to 27 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 9.7 units and are 26-26 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 27 of those games, compared to 23 that went under the total.

Phillies at Nationals MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Philadelphia has logged 12 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Washington has 19 XBH over its last five.
  • The Phillies have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Nationals have hit 21 over their last 10.
  • The Phillies have a total OPS of .736 this season and an OPS of .723 against right-handed pitchers. The Nationals’ OPS sits at .759 overall and .724 against righties.
  • Philadelphia has posted 18.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 16.6 over its last five.
  • The Phillies have dropped five of their last six games SU.