Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Philadelphia Phillies will be squaring off against their divisional rival Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET and Fox SportsNet Florida will showcase the action.

Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins Odds

Miami (+115) is coming into this one as the underdog to Philadelphia (-125) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 7.5 runs (-125 for the over and +105 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the games runline with the most recent odds sitting at +120 for the Phillies -1.5 runs and -140 for the Marlins +1.5.

The Marlins are 51-45 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 40-57 straight up (SU). The teams gained 1.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 4.0 units (ATS). On the other hand, the Phillies are 53-41 SU and have gone 42-51 ATS. Overall, the teams accumulated 13.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline, but have lost 16.9 units ATS.

Marlins games have an over/under record of 49-45-2 so far in 2018. Philadelphia has been a decent under bet with a total record of 39-49-5.

Enyel De Los Santos is getting the nod for the visiting Phillies. De Los Santos (1-0, 4.26 ERA) has racked up six strikeouts in 6.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Marlins this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Marlins will turn to righty Jose Urena (2-9, 4.13 ERA) to the mound. Urena has 85 strikeouts and 24 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.19. Urena is 0-1 with six strikeouts and a 1.29 ERA in one start against Philadelphia this year.

Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.62, a WHIP of 1.34 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 4.88 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 8.4 K/9. In 31 games against divisional opponents, Marlins starters have an ERA of 4.12 and the bullpens ERA is 7.07.

Miami’s offense is putting up 3.8 runs per outing, including 3.7 per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .223/.314/.307 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson have led the Marlins offense this year. Castro is hitting .289/.337/.408 with seven home runs, 37 RBIs and 57 runs scored, and Anderson’s line is .284/.360/.416 with seven homers, 46 RBIs and 53 runs.

For the visiting squad, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.67 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 8.98 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.98, along with a K-per-9 of 9.32.

The Phillies offense has slashed .237/.322/.391 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over the teams last five outings (3-2 SU).

Right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez continue to lead Philadelphia’s offense. Herrera is slashing .276/.327/.460 with 16 home runs, 52 RBIs and 46 runs scored. Hernandez (.270/.377/.376) has produced eight homers, 28 RBIs, 63 runs and 14 steals.

The Phillies have gained 11.7 units and are 32-39 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The overs hit in 29 of those games, compared to 38 that’ve gone under against y starters.

Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has cashed in three of Miami’s last seven games.
  • Philadelphia has posted 22.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 22.4 over its last five.
  • The Phillies have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit 10 over their last 10.