The UC Davis Aggies (5-2) will be at home in The Pavilion when they take on the Pacific Tigers (5-4). The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 133.5 points with UC Davis set as a 6.5-point favorite. Tip-off is scheduled for 10:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, December 6, 2017.
Pacific Tigers vs. UC Davis Aggies ATS Preview
The Tigers won big over the Arkansas-Fort Smith Lions in their last outing, 105-68. With 14 points, 12 rebounds and seven assists, Jahlil Tripp had a solid game for Pacific. The Tigers had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.714 vs. 0.421) and had a better turnover percentage (12.4 vs. 15.2).
In the Aggies last matchup, they topped the Washington State Cougars, 81-67. UC Davis was lifted by Chima Moneke, who had 19 points and 11 rebounds. UC Davis dominated every facet of the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.255 (matching their season average) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 26.7 (above their season average of 24.9). Washington State had marks of 0.123 and 19.4, respectively, for those same stats.
UC Davis should have the advantage on the defensive side of the ball. The Aggies rank 91st in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.484), while Pacific is 324th in effective field goal percentage (0.468) since the 2016-17 season.
In terms of the O/U total, these teams are complete opposites. Pacific games have gone over 62.5 percent of the time, while 66.7 percent of games including UC Davis have gone under. The Aggies come into this game with a significant advantage in terms of straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records. They are 5-2 SU and 5-0-1 ATS, while the Tigers are 5-4 SU and 3-5 ATS.
These teams have already met once this season. The Aggies won 62-58. UC Davis effective field goal percentage was its biggest advantage over Pacific. The Aggies had a rate of 0.585 while the Tigers posted a mark of 0.440. Moneke put up a double-double in the victory with 26 points and 10 rebounds.
Pacific Tigers vs. UC Davis Aggies Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – UC Davis, ATS Winner – UC Davis, O/U – Under
Betting Notes (2016-Present):
- The Aggies rank 177th in blocks per game (3.0) while the Tigers rank 237th (2.4).
- Pacific averages 36.8 rebounds per game, which ranks 115th in the NCAA. UC Davis ranks 121st in rebounds allowed per game (34.4).
- Pacific ranks 39th in steals allowed per game (5.1) while UC Davis ranks 231st (7.0).
- The Aggies rank 140th in assists allowed per game (13.0) while the Tigers rank 258th (14.7).
- UC Davis ranks 157th in three pointers allowed per game (21.3) while Pacific ranks 234th (22.8).