Oregon State Beavers at Colorado Buffaloes: NCAA Football Free Betting Preview

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A couple of teams that prefer to run the football, Coach Smith Jonathan and the Oregon State Beavers (+24) are taking on the Colorado Buffaloes at Folsom Field. Kickoff for this Pac-12 matchup is pegged for 3:00 p.m. ET and Pac-12 Networks is scheduled to televise the action.

Betting Preview: Colorado Buffaloes vs. Oregon State Beavers


Oregon State is a heavy live dog here and is currently receiving 24 points by oddsmakers. If the Buffaloes get behind early it’ll result in a solid betting scenario in-game. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 63.5 points.

This game’s opening line was -24, while the total has not changed after being set initially at 63.5.

The Beavers are 2-5 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 3.0 units so far. The team’s posted an O/U record of 5-2.

The Buffaloes have been a nice surprise for moneyline bettors this season, gaining 2.4 units. They’re 5-2 ATS and own an O/U record of 0-6.

The Beavers have gone 1-6 straight up (SU), including 0-4 SU against Pac-12 opponents. The Buffaloes are 5-2 SU overall and 2-2 SU in conference play.

When these two teams faced each other last year, Colorado won by a field goal 36-33.

The Beavers could be waving the white flag following a 42-point defeat to California last week. Their defense allowed the Golden Bears to run for 305 yards on 43 rush attempts, including three rush TDs. Patrick Laird was unmatched for the Golden Bears in that one with 193 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 22 attempts, along with 48 yards and a score on three catches. Offensively, the Beavers completed 17-of-33 passes for 146 yards and two interceptions. Jack Colletto went 11-for-20 for 104 yards and one interception while Conor Blount completed six-of-13 for 42 yards and one interception. Artavis Pierce (only 44 rushing yards on 13 attempts) and B.J. Baylor (18 yards on 10 carries) led the ground attack while Pierce (five receptions, 72 yards) and Trevon Bradford (three catches, 34 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

Colorado just lost a 27-13 game to Washington. The team’s defense allowed the Huskies to run for 201 yards on 40 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. Salvon Ahmed put up a productive showing for Washington, accounting for 73 rushing yards and a score on nine attempts. For Colorado, Steven Montez completed 17-of-28 passes for 144 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Travon McMillian (86 yards on 25 rush attempts) led the running game while K.D. Nixon (four receptions, 36 yards) and Brady Russell (four catches, 23 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.

Oregon State has run the ball on 58.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Colorado has a rush percentage of 55.4 percent. The Beavers have run for 195.1 yards per game (including 182.3 per game against Pac-12 opponents) and have 18 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Buffaloes are totaling 171.7 rushing yards per game (147.3 in conference) and have 16 total rush TDs.

It seems like the Buffaloes ought to own an advantage when it comes to applying pressure. Their offensive line has yielded only 16 sacks while the D-line has logged 17 sacks. The Beavers offensive line has given up 30 sacks and their defense has got to opposing signal-callerss on just six occasions.

The Beavers offensive scheme has averaged 228.1 yards through the air overall (163.3 per game against conference opposition) and has eight passing TDs so far. The Buffaloes have recorded 254.1 pass yards per contest (228 in the Pac-12) and have 12 total pass scores.

Defensively, Oregon State has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 274.6 yards and throw for 266.4 yards per game. The Colorado D has given up 205.4 yards per game to opposing passers and 146.0 yards per game to opposing runners. The Buffaloes are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.29 to opponents, while the Beavers have allowed an ugly 9.36 ANY/A.

Montez has completed 132-of-181 passes for 1,564 yards, 12 TDs and three INTs for Colorado. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 8.35 for the year and 2.51 across his past two games. In the other locker room, Conor Blount is up to 887 passing yards this year. He’s connected on 75-of-120 attempts with seven passing touchdowns and only two interceptions. Blount has a 5.91 ANY/A for the year, though that number sits at 3.10 over the last two games.

Oregon State Beavers vs. Colorado Buffaloes Free Pick

SU Winner: Colorado, ATS Winner: Oregon State, O/U: Over

Team Betting Notes,

  • The O/U for Oregon State’s last game was set at 56.5. The under cashed in the team’s 49-7 loss to California.
  • Oregon State, as a team, has produced 4.4 yards per carry across its last three games and 4.1 over its last two.
  • Colorado has averaged 3.2 yards per carry over its last three outings and only 3.0 over its past two.
  • The Colorado offense has lost one fumble this season while Oregon State has lost six.
  • In its last three matchups, Oregon State is 0-3 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • The Over/Under for Colorado’s last match was set at 49.5. The under cashed in the 27-13 defeat to Washington.
  • Over its last three matches, Colorado is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
  • The Beavers offense has produced six pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Buffaloes have put up eight such plays.
  • The Oregon State defense has allowed six pass plays of 40+ yards, while Colorado has given up five such plays.
  • The Oregon State offense has created 19 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Colorado has created 10 such runs.
  • The Beavers defense has allowed 23 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Buffaloes have given up eight such runs.
  • The Colorado D has produced 17 sacks on the year while Oregon State has just six.