Oregon State Beavers at Arizona State Sun Devils: Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, College Football, Football

The Oregon State Beavers and Arizona State Sun Devils will collide on the grass at Sun Devil Stadium, Frank Kush Field. This showdown will kick off pretty late for fans on the East Coast (10:00 p.m. ET) and Pac-12 Networks is scheduled to have the TV rights.

Betting Preview: Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Oregon State Beavers

Arizona State has been tabbed as the heavy favorite and is currently giving up 22 points to Oregon State. The over/under for this game has not yet been determined. If one squad can find paydirt early on, it’ll likely result in a nice in-game betting opportunity.

The initial odds have recently shifted. This game’s opening line was -21.

The Beavers have lost 1.0 unit so far and are 2-2 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an Over-Under record of 3-1.

The Sun Devils are down 0.7 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 3-1 ATS and have an even O/U record of 2-2.

The Beavers are 1-3 straight up (SU), including 0-1 SU against conference opponents. The Sun Devils are 2-2 SU overall and are also 0-1 SU in conference play.

These two programs met last year with the final result being a 40-24 victory for Arizona State.

Each team comes into the matchup having lost two straight. The Beavers fell to Arizona 35-14 in a blowout where their defense allowed the Wildcats to run for 442 yards on 51 rush attempts, including three rush TDs. J.J. Taylor was unstoppable for the Wildcats in that one with 284 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 27 attempts. On the offensive side of the ball, Conor Blount completed 17 passes on 24 attempts for only 137 yards and two touchdowns. Jermar Jefferson (82 rushing yards on 19 attempts) and the signal-caller Blount (one yards on 12 carries) mounted the ground attack. Trevon Bradford (five receptions, 29 yards, one TD) and Timmy Hernandez (four catches, 51 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

Arizona State just lost a 27-20 game to Washington. The defense let the Huskies rush for 171 yards on 39 attempts. Myles Gaskin had a productive outing for Washington, recording 86 rushing yards on 21 attempts. For Arizona State, Manny Wilkins completed 17-of-27 passes for 104 yards. Eno Benjamin (104 yards on 26 rush attempts, one TD) handled the running game while N’Keal Harry (five receptions, 20 yards) and Smith (three catches, 16 yards) led the receiving corps in the loss.

Oregon State has run the ball on 55.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Arizona State has an overall rush percentage of 47.1 percent. The Beavers have produced 183.5 rush yards per game and have 10 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Sun Devils are averaging 127.5 rush yards per game and have five total rushing TDs.

If the results so far this season are any indication, then the Sun Devils could hold an advantage in the trenches. Their offensive line has allowed just five sacks while the D-line has registered 13 sacks. The Beavers offensive line has allowed 14 sacks and their defense has created only five sacks.

The Beavers offensive scheme has tallied 271.3 yards per contest through the air overall and has seven passing TDs so far. The Sun Devils have produced 265.5 pass yards per outing and also have seven total pass scores.

Oregon State has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 280.3 yards and throw for 259.8 yards per game. The Arizona State D has allowed 215.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 136.8 yards per game to opposing runners. The Sun Devils are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.22 to opposing QBs, while the Beavers have allowed an 8.06 ANY/A.

Passing-wise, Blount has amassed 532 yards this season, and has connected on 68 percent of his 65 attempts with five passing scores and has yet to throw an interception. He has a 7.70 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 6.10 over the last two outings.

Isaiah Hodgins (118 receiving yards on the year), Jermar Jefferson (367 rush yards, four rush TDs, 50 receiving yards) and Timmy Hernandez (102 receiving yards, one TD) have each played significant roles lately.

For the home team, Manny Wilkins has managed to complete 63-of-99 passes for 721 yards, five TDs and one INT. Wilkins’ ANY/A stands at 7.57 for the year and 6.21 across his past two games.

As a group, Eno Benjamin, Frank Darby and N’Keal Harry have combined for 416 total yards and two touchdowns over the last two games.

Oregon State Beavers at Arizona State Sun Devils Bedding Prediction

SU Winner: Arizona State, ATS Winner: Oregon State

Team Betting Notes

  • The Arizona State defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 13 times this year. Oregon State has recorded just five sacks.
  • The Arizona State offense has lost one fumble this season while Oregon State has lost four.
  • Both offenses have created five pass plays of 30+ yards.
  • The Oregon State defense has allowed three pass plays of 40+ yards, while Arizona State has given up zero such plays.
  • The Oregon State offense has created 11 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Arizona State has created two such run.
  • The Beavers defense has allowed 12 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Sun Devils have given up one such run.
  • Arizona State was favored by 18 points in its previous matchup and the Over/Under was set at 54. The under cashed and Arizona State failed to cover in that 27-20 loss to Washington.
  • Over its last three contests, Arizona State is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • In its last three matches, Oregon State is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • Oregon State was getting 5 points in its last game and the Over/Under going into it was 74. The under cashed and Oregon State failed to cover in the 35-14 defeat to Arizona.
  • As a team, Oregon State has produced 4.17054263565892 yards per carry over its last three contests and 2.1 over its last two.
  • Arizona State has averaged 2.6 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 3.1 over its past two.