Oregon Ducks vs. Arizona Wildcats – 10/27/2018 Free Pick

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In a display of two schools that prefer to mix in a lot of running plays, Head Coach Mario Cristobal and the No. 19 Oregon Ducks (-9.5) are set to take on their in-conference counterpart Arizona Wildcats at Arizona Stadium. Kickoff is pretty late for fans on the East Coast (10:30 p.m. ET) and fans can catch the action by tuning in to ESPN.

Betting Preview: Arizona Wildcats vs. Oregon Ducks

Arizona is a live dog and is currently getting 9.5 points in this Pac-12 game. The Ducks are also receiving -370 moneyline odds while the Wildcats are +290. If one team catches a lucky break early it would result in a nice betting opportunity in-game. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 62 points.

The Ducks are 3-4 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 0.6 units so far. The team has posted an Over-Under record of 3-4.

The underwhelming Wildcats have lost 6.8 units this season. The team is 4-4 ATS and has an O/U record of 1-6.

The Ducks have gone 5-2 straight up (SU), including 2-2 SU against conference opponents. The Wildcats are 3-5 SU overall and 2-3 SU in conference play.

The Ducks are trying to bounce back after a 34-20 defeat to Washington State last week. Justin Herbert completed just 25-of-44 passes for 270 yards and one touchdown. CJ Verdell (55 rushing yards on 12 attempts) led the ground attack. Dillon Mitchell (seven receptions, 47 yards) and Brenden Schooler (four catches, 59 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

Arizona narrowly came up short in a 31-30 shootout to UCLA. The defensive unit let the Bruins pass for 307 yards and three touchdowns while rushing for 153 yards. Joshua Kelley was a force to be reckoned with, recording 136 rushing yards and a score on 31 attempts, along with 43 yards on four catches for UCLA. For Arizona, Rhett Rodriguez completed 15-of-34 passes for 231 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. J.J. Taylor (154 rushing yards on 19 attempts, one TD) and Gary Brightwell (121 yards on 15 carries) spearheaded the running game while Shawn Poindexter (six receptions, 106 yards, two TDs) and Taylor (two catches, 11 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.

Oregon has run the ball on 57.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Arizona has a rush percentage of 54.6 percent. The Ducks have produced 187.9 rush yards/game (including 168.3 per game versus Pac-12 opponents) and have 17 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Wildcats are putting up 196.5 rushing yards per game (205.0 in conference) and have 11 total rush TDs.

The Ducks offensive scheme has tallied 272.9 yards per contest through the air overall (260.8 per game versus conference opposition) and has 18 passing scores so far. The Wildcats have put up 242.3 pass yards per contest (200 against Pac-12 foes) and have 14 total pass TDs.

Defensively, Oregon has allowed 116.3 rush yards and 251.0 pass yards per game. The Arizona defense has allowed 244.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 195.9 yards per game on the ground. The Ducks are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.96 to opposing QBs, while the Wildcats have allowed a 6.99 ANY/A.

Herbert has been more productive than Rodriguez lately, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 9.01for the season and 6.39 over his last two outings. Rodriguez’s ANY/A is 5.43 for the year and 5.69 over his last two games.

When these two teams faced one another a year ago, Oregon won handily 48-28.

Oregon Ducks at Arizona Wildcats Free Prediction

SU Winner: Oregon, ATS Winner: Oregon, O/U: Over

Team Betting Trends,

  • The Oregon defense has sacked opposing QBs 17 times this season. Arizona has registered 15 sacks.
  • Arizona has lost four fumbles this season while Oregon has lost five.
  • The Ducks offense has recorded six pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Wildcats have put up seven such plays.
  • The Oregon defense has allowed eight pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Arizona has given up five such plays.
  • The Oregon offense has created nine rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Arizona has created 16 such runs.
  • The Ducks defense has allowed seven rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Wildcats have given up 11 such runs.
  • The Over/Under for Arizona’s last game going into it was 57. The over cashed in the 31-30 loss to UCLA.
  • Over its last three matches, Arizona is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • Over its last three games, Oregon is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • Arizona has lost four of its last five games SU, with a seven-point win over California on October 6th accounting for the lone victory over that span.
  • The O/U for Oregon’s previous game was 69.5. The under cashed in the team’s 34-20 loss to Washington State.
  • As a team, Oregon has produced 4.3 yards per carry over its past three outings and 3.2 over its last two.
  • Arizona has averaged 4.7 yards per carry over its last three contests and 5.2 over its last two.