Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Dallas Mavericks Free Prediction

Jose VasquezArticles, Basketball, NBA

The Oklahoma City Thunder (7-4) visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks (3-8). The Thunder will try to extend their seven-game winning streak. Action begins at 9 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 10, 2018, and can be seen on Fox SportsNet Oklahoma.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Dallas Mavericks Betting Odds

The Thunder had no trouble getting past the Houston Rockets in their last game, 98-80, despite being 5-point underdogs. The Mavericks, meanwhile, were topped by the Utah Jazz, 117-102, and were unable to cover as 10-point underdogs. The Oklahoma City game went 35.5 points under the projected point total of 213.5, while the Dallas game went 5 points over the projected point total of 214.

Oklahoma City dominated every facet of the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.210 (below their season average of 0.220) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 32.5 (above their season average of 25.5). Houston was 0.085 and 23.5, respectively, for those same stats. Dallas, meanwhile, did a terrific job of getting and making free throws (36-40; 90.0 percent). Dallas rallied around DeAndre Jordan, who had 11 points and 12 rebounds. Paul George had a good outing for Oklahoma City, finishing with 20 points, 11 rebounds and six assists.

This series was highly contested last year, as the teams split their four games last season. The Thunder won the last contest 111-110. Oklahoma City had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (40.4 vs. 17.8). Dallas, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (14.1 vs. 17.8). This is the first time these teams will battle this year.

Thunder games have a slight tendency to go under the total (54.5 percent). Oklahoma City comes into the contest with records of 7-4 straight up (SU) and 7-4 against the spread (ATS).

Of the Mavericks’ 11 games, 7 have finished over the total. Moreover, Dallas owns records of 3-8 SU and 6-5 ATS.

Dennis Schroder and Jerami Grant have played at a high level over the last five games for Oklahoma City. Schroder has averaged 20.4 points per game, while Grant has recorded 13.8 points, 5.8 rebounds and 1.4 steals a game during that span.

It might be a mistake-prone game for the Dallas offense. Dallas ranks 28th in the NBA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 16.3 percent), while the disruptive defense of Oklahoma City forces the second-most turnovers in the league (17.3 percent). ,

Oklahoma City Thunder at Dallas Mavericks ATS Pick

NBA Tip: SU Winner – Thunder, ATS Winner – Thunder, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Thunder rank fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.3) while the Mavericks rank 10th (4.9).
  • Oklahoma City ranks first in steals per game (11.6) while Dallas ranks 23rd (6.3).
  • The Mavericks rank first in rebounds allowed per game (40.5) while the Thunder rank 15th (45.0).
  • Dallas ranks fourth in points allowed in the paint per game (43.5) while Oklahoma City ranks 14th (48.7).
  • Dallas ranks first in second chance points allowed per game (9.8) while Oklahoma City ranks seventh (11.7).
  • The Thunder rank first in points off turnovers per game (22.9) while the Mavericks rank 23rd in points off turnovers allowed per game (19.2).
  • The Thunder average 14.7 fast break points per game, which ranks 12th in the NBA. The Mavericks rank 21st in fast break points allowed per game (15.5).
  • Dallas ranks fourth in three pointers allowed per game (28.4) while Oklahoma City ranks eighth (29.6).
  • Oklahoma City ranks eighth in assists allowed per game (22.5) while Dallas ranks 26th (26.0).
  • Oklahoma City is 2-0 when they allow below 100 points.
  • The Mavericks are 3-8 when they reach 100 points, while the Thunder are 5-2.
  • Dallas is 3-2 ATS at home, while Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone under in 4 of the Thunder’s 5 road games, while 3 of the Mavericks’ 5 home games have gone over.
  • Bettings Trends:
  • The Thunder are 5-0 ATS over their last five games, while the Mavericks are 3-2.
  • In their last five games, Oklahoma City has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Dallas has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • During their last five games, the Thunder have scored an average of 112.0 points per game (1.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 100.0 points per game (6.2 below their season average).
  • The Mavericks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 2.8, down from 4.5 for the season.