Oakland Raiders at Miami Dolphins: Week 3 Free Betting Prediction

Jose VasquezArticles, Football, NFL

The Oakland Raiders (+3) are set to take on the Miami Dolphins (-3) at Hard Rock Stadium. This early afternoon game starts at 1:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to CBS.

Betting Preview: Miami Dolphins vs. Oakland Raiders

Oakland is a live dog and is currently getting 3 points in this Sunday AFC matchup. The Raiders are also receiving +130 moneyline odds while the Dolphins are -150. If one team can create a bunch of points early it will create a reasonable in-game betting opportunity. Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 43.5 points.

The game’s total has been driven lower after initially being set at 44. The opening line (-3) has remained firm.

The Raiders are 1-1 against the spread (ATS) and are down 2.0 units so far. They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U record of 0-2.

The surprising Dolphins have gained 2.3 units this season. The team is 2-0 ATS and has an O/U record of 1-1.

The Raiders are only 0-2 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Dolphins are 2-0 SU.

These two squads faced off last year with the final result being a 27-24 win for Oakland.

The Raiders are most-recently reeling from a narrow 20-19 defeat to Denver last week where Derek Carr completed 29-of-32 passes for 288 yards and one touchdown. Marshawn Lynch (65 rushing yards on 18 attempts, one TD) led the running attack while Amari Cooper (10 receptions, 116 yards) and Jared Cook (four catches, 49 yards) manned the receiving duties in the defeat.

Miami just earned a 20-12 win over the Jets a week ago. The defensive secondary let the Jets air it out for 334 yards. Quincy Enunwa was a bright spot in the defeat, posting 92 yards on seven catches for New York. For Miami, Ryan Tannehill completed 17-of-23 passes for 168 yards and two touchdowns. Kenyan Drake (53 rushing yards on 11 attempts, one TD) mounted the running game as Danny Amendola (four receptions, 32 yards) and Drake (four catches, 17 yards) led the receiving corps in the win.

Oakland has run the ball on 41.0 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Miami has a rush percentage of 54.1 percent. The Raiders have produced 93.5 rush yards per game and have two touchdowns on the ground this year. The Dolphins are totaling 127.5 rush yards per game and have just one rushing TD.

If the numbers so far this season can translate to this game, then it seems like the Dolphins may hold an advantage in all aspects of the ground game. Their running backs has logged 4.3 yards per carry while their defense is allowing a YPC of 3.3 to opponents. The Raiders have rushed for 3.7 yards per carry while allowing 5.7 YPC to opponents.

The Raiders offensive scheme has logged 295.5 yards per contest in the air overall and has only one passing scores so far. The Dolphins have put up 199.0 pass yards per game and have four total pass TD.

Oakland seems to hold an advantage when it comes to limiting the pass. The team’s let opponents run for an average of 154.0 yards and throw for 227.5 yards per game. The Miami D has allowed 277.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 79.0 yards per game on the ground. The Dolphins are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.09 to opponents, while the Raiders have allowed a 6.24 ANY/A.

Tannehill has completed 17-of-23 passes for 168 yards, two TDs and zero INTs for Miami. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 6.00 for the season and 5.96 across his past two outings. In the other huddle, Carr has put up 288 passing yards this season, and has completed 29-of-32 attempts with one passing touchdowns and has yet to throw an interception. Carr has a 9.12 ANY/An overall, though that number is 6.30 over the past two outings.

Oakland Raiders at Miami Dolphins Free NFL Tip

SU Winner: Dolphins, ATS Winner: Raiders, O/U: Over

Team Betting Notes

  • The Miami defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks three times this season. Oakland has produced two sacks.
  • Miami has lost two fumbles this season while Oakland has yet to lose any.
  • The Raiders have made two pass plays of 30+ yards while the Dolphins have produced one such play.
  • Both defenses have allowed zero pass plays of 40 or more yards and one pass play of 30+ yards.
  • The Oakland offense has created zero rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Miami has created one such run.
  • Both defenses have allowed one rushing plays of 20+ yards. The Raiders have given up five running play of 10+ yards while the Dolphins have given up one such plays.
  • Miami was favored by 3 points in its last match and the Over/Under was set at 43. The under cashed and Miami covered in the 20-12 triumph over the Jets.
  • Oakland was favored by 6 points in its last game and the Over/Under going into it was 44.5. The under cashed and Oakland failed to cover in the 20-19 defeat to Denver.