New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The New York Yankees are paying a visit to Washington to play the Nationals at Nationals Park. The game gets underway 7:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will showcase this interleague matchup.

New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals Odds

New York (-115) is favored over Washington (+105) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the games runline with the odds sitting at Yankees -1.5 runs (+130) and Nationals 1.5 runs (-150).

The Yankees are 28-12 SU and have gone 22-18 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 9.5 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 3.8 units ATS. New York is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 24-18 SU and 22-20 ATS. The teams lost 0.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 2.8 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Nationals games have an 18-22-2 over/under record so far in 2018. The Yankees have been a decent over bet with a total record of 23-16-1.

Masahiro Tanaka is getting the start for the visiting Yankees. The right-handed Tanaka is 4-2 with a 4.66 ERA and 45 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Nationals this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Nationals are sending lefty Gio Gonzalez (4-2, 2.22 ERA) to the mound. Gonzalez has 50 strikeouts and 19 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.34. Gonzalez did not record a start against the Yankees in 2017.

Washington’s pitching staff has given up 3.7 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The teams starters have a 2.91 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and 10.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.41 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.8 K/9.

Washington’s offense has produced 4.5 runs per contest, including 3.9 per game over its last 10 games and 2.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .231/.289/.410 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.

Bryce Harper and Matt Adams have led the Nationals batters so far. Harper is hitting .236/.400/.543 with 13 home runs, 30 RBIs and 30 runs scored, while the line for Adams stands at .274/.389/.642 with 10 homers, 25 RBIs and 18 runs.

In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.76 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 8.59 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.53, along with a K/9 of 12.77.

Yankees hitters have slashed .251/.343/.444 on their way to 5.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.9 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 6.2 per game over the teams last five contests (3-2 SU).

New York’s offensive production been led by right fielder Aaron Judge and shortstop Didi Gregorius. Judge is slashing .311/.440/.601 with 11 home runs, 35 RBIs and 33 runs scored, while Gregorius (.260/.349/.548) is up to 10 homers, 31 RBIs and 29 runs scored.

Maintaining a slash line of .175/.390/.456 across 77 such plate appearances, Judge did not do especially well against left-handed pitchers on the road in 2017 (compared to his overall season slash line of .284/.422/.627).

The Yankees have gained 4.5 units and are 7-6 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in five of those games, compared to eight that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Nationals have netted 7.1 units and are 16-13 ATS when facing a righty starter. The overs cashed in 15 of those games, compared to 13 that’ve gone under.

New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The Nationals have won seven of their last eight games SU.
  • Washington has posted 18.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 18.8 over its last five.
  • The Yankees have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.