New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers Free Pick

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The New York Yankees will be taking on the Texas Rangers at Globe Life Park. YES Network will broadcast this AL matchup. The opening pitch is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. ET.

New York Yankees at Texas Rangers Odds

New York (-155) is entering this one as the favorite over Texas (+145) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 9.5 runs. Odds for wagering on the games total stand at -110 for both the over and the under. Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the most recent runline odds standing at -110 for the Yankees -1.5 runs and -110 for the Rangers +1.5.

The Rangers are just 18-31 SU and 19-29 ATS. The team has lost 5.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 14.9 units against the spread (ATS). Texas has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Yankees are 31-13 SU and have gone 24-19 ATS. Overall, the teams accumulated 9.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline in the seasons early going and 4.5 units ATS. New York is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Texas games have had an over/under record of 23-22-3 so far in 2018. The Yankees have been a decent over bet with a total record of 25-17-1.

The right-handed Domingo German is the projected starter for New York. German is 0-1 with a 4.26 ERA and 28 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Rangers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Rangers are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Cole Hamels (2-4, 3.48 ERA), who’s got 57 strikeouts and 21 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.28. Hamels did not record a start against the Yankees in 2017.

Texas pitching staff has given up 5.3 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The clubs starters have a 5.22 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.14 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.3 K/9.

The Texas hitters are putting up 4.0 runs per contest, including 3.8 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .176/.280/.302 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

The Rangers hitters have been led by Nomar Mazara and Shin-soo Choo. Mazara is hitting .273/.335/.497 with 10 home runs, 27 RBIs and 27 runs scored, while Choo’s line sits at .253/.333/.398 with six homers, 21 RBIs and 27 runs scored.

Mazara performed well against right-handed pitching at home last season. Over 240 such plate appearances, he slashed .312/.379/.526 (compared to his total season line of .253/.323/.422).

In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.76 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 8.44 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.40, along with a K/9 of 12.51.

Yankees hitters have slashed .258/.346/.468 on their way to 5.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 6.4 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 7.2 per game over the teams last five contests (4-1 SU).

Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton have led New York’s hitters. Judge is hitting .286/.415/.565 with 12 home runs, 36 RBIs and 35 runs scored, while Stanton (.263/.342/.520) has produced 11 homers, 28 RBIs and 32 runs scored.

Maintaining a slash line of .175/.390/.456 across 77 such plate appearances, Judge seemed to take a step back when hitting lefty pitching on the road last year (compared to his overall season slash line of .284/.422/.627).

The Yankees have gained 6.5 units and are 9-6 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in seven of those games, compared to eight that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Rangers have lost 1.6 units and are 15-20 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 16 of those games, compared to 18 that went under the total.

New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Yankees have won five of their last six games SU while the Rangers have lost four of their last five SU.
  • Texas has posted 16.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 15.6 over its last five.
  • The Yankees have hit 23 home runs in their last 10 games, including 15 over their last five.