New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The New York Yankees will be taking on their divisional rival Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field. The matchup will begin at 1:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to YES Network to catch the action.

New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays Odds

The Yankees are 97-61 SU and have gone 77-80 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 10.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 13.6 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Rays, on the other hand, are 88-70 SU and 89-68 ATS. The team’s gained 23.3 units for moneyline bettors and 22.4 units ATS. Tampa Bay has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Tampa Bay games have an over/under record of 69-83-5 in 2018. New York has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 72-78-7.

CC Sabathia is getting the start for the visiting Yankees. The left-handed Sabathia is 8-7 with a 3.77 ERA and 135 strikeouts. He’s 0-2 with 14 strikeouts and a 2.77 ERA against Tampa Bay this year (two starts).

The Rays will turn to righty Jaime Schultz (2-1, 4.55 ERA), who’s got 33 strikeouts and 15 walks to his name as well as a 1.04 WHIP. Schultz is 0-0 with six strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against New York this year.

New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.03 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.18 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.37, along with a K-per-9 of 11.35.

The Yankees offense has slashed .248/.332/.448 on its way to 5.2 runs scored per game this season, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

New York’s offensive production has been fueled by Miguel Andujar and Giancarlo Stanton, who’ve collectively belted 61 home runs. Andujar is slashing .295/.327/.520 with 26 home runs, 87 RBIs and 79 runs scored, while Stanton has a .260 average with 35 homers, 95 RBIs and 98 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has given up 3.9 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 3.64 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.73 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 8.2 K/9. In 72 games against AL East foes, Rays starters have an ERA of 4.84 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.70.

Tampa Bay’s hitters have produced 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.5 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team has hit .182/.290/.333 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Rays’ hitters have been led by third baseman Matt Duffy and second baseman Joey Wendle. Duffy is hitting .294/.361/.366 with four home runs, 44 RBIs and 59 runs scored, and Wendle’s line is .300/.354/.436 with seven homers, 58 RBIs, 60 runs and 15 stolen bases.

The Yankees have lost 12.1 units and are 58-55 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 53 of those games, compared to 57 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Rays have netted 11.1 units and are 27-17 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 15 of those games, compared to 27 which went under the total.

New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Rays, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • New York has recorded 19 extra-base hits over its last five games. Tampa Bay has 14 XBH over its last five.
  • Tampa Bay has recorded 24.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 15.2 over its last five.
  • The Yankees have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Rays have hit nine over their last 10.