New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The New York Yankees will take on their division rival Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field. YES Network will be showing the matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.

New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays Odds

The Rays are 87-69 straight up (SU) and 89-66 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 25.4 units for moneyline bettors and 25.1 units (ATS). Tampa Bay has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Yankees have gone 96-60 SU this year and are 75-80 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 12.2 units for moneyline gamblers and 16.0 units ATS. New York has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.

Rays games have an over/under record of 68-82-5 in 2018. New York has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 71-77-7.

Luis Severino will get the nod for the visiting Yankees. The right-handed Severino (18-8, 3.38 ERA) has recorded 213 punchouts in 186.1 innings so far. He’s 2-1 with 24 strikeouts and a 3.54 ERA against Tampa Bay this year (three starts).

The Rays are handing the ball to righty Jake Faria (4-3, 5.17 ERA), who’s got 48 strikeouts and 32 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.40. Faria is 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 2.70 ERA in one start against New York this year.

New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.02 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.16 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.37, along with a WHIP of 1.26 and a K-per-9 of 11.31.

Yankees hitters have slashed .248/.331/.447 on their way to 5.1 runs scored per game this season, including 5.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

New York’s offensive production has been led by Miguel Andujar and Giancarlo Stanton, who’ve collectively blasted 60 home runs. Andujar is slashing .298/.330/.521 with 25 home runs, 85 RBIs and 78 runs scored, while Stanton is hitting .260 with 35 homers, 94 RBIs and 95 runs scored.

For the home team, Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has yielded 3.9 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 3.57 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.68 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 8.2 K/9. In 70 games against divisional foes, Rays starters have an ERA of 4.69 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.60.

The Tampa Bay hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.5 per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .234/.351/.386 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Third baseman Matt Duffy and second baseman Joey Wendle have led the Rays’ batters this year. Duffy is slashing .294/.360/.366 with four home runs, 44 RBIs, 58 runs and 12 stolen bases, and Wendle’s line is .301/.356/.437 with seven homers, 57 RBIs, 58 runs and 15 steals.

The Rays have gained 14.3 units and are 62-49 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 53 of those games, compared to 55 that’ve gone under.

New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Rays, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has cashed in four of Tampa Bay’s last seven games.
  • The Yankees have won three of their last four games SU.
  • Tampa Bay has posted 24.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.4 over its last five.
  • The Yankees have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games. The Rays have hit 12 over their last 10.