New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The New York Yankees will be squaring off against the Minnesota Twins at Target Field. Fox Sports North will televise this AL showdown and the action gets going at 8:10 p.m. ET.

New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins Odds

Minnesota (+200) is the home-team underdog against New York (-220) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Runline odds stand at -150 for picking the Yankees -1.5 runs and +130 for the Twins +1.5.

The Yankees have gone 90-55 SU this year and are 72-72 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 4.5 units for moneyline gamblers and 9.5 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Twins, on the other hand, are 66-78 SU and 72-71 ATS. The team’s lost 15.3 units for moneyline bettors and 3.5 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Twins games have an over/under record of 69-71-3 in 2018. The Yankees have been a decent under bet with a total record of 64-73-7.

Luis Severino is getting the start for New York. The right-handed Severino is 17-7 with a 3.52 ERA and 202 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Twins this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 9.00 ERA and three strikeouts across three innings).

The Twins will turn to righty Jake Odorizzi (5-10, 4.57 ERA), who’s got 148 strikeouts and 61 walks to his credit as well as a WHIP of 1.36. Odorizzi is 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 9.64 ERA in one start against New York this year.

Minnesota’s pitching staff has given up 4.9 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.63, a WHIP of 1.40 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.2. The bullpen has a 4.63 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.

The Minnesota hitters have put up 4.4 runs per contest, including 3.8 per game over its last 10 games and 5.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .257/.330/.353 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Twins’ offense has been led by left fielder Eddie Rosario and first baseman Joe Mauer. Rosario is hitting .289/.326/.482 with 23 home runs, 75 RBIs and 85 runs scored, and Mauer’s line is .272/.343/.374 with six homers, 43 RBIs and 51 runs scored.

For the visitors, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.09 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.16 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.25, along with a WHIP of 1.25 and a K/9 of 11.38.

Yankees hitters have slashed .249/.331/.448 on their way to 5.1 runs scored per game this year, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

New York’s hitters have been led by Miguel Andujar and Giancarlo Stanton, who collectively have launched 56 home runs. Andujar is hitting .299/.333/.521 with 23 home runs, 79 RBIs and 76 runs scored, while Stanton is slashing .265/.340/.502 with 33 homers, 86 RBIs and 90 runs scored.

The Yankees have lost 9.1 units and are 54-49 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 47 of those games, compared to 53 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Twins have lost 7.2 units and are 52-49 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 50 of those games, as opposed to 49 that’ve cashed the under.

New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • New York has logged 14 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Minnesota has 10 XBH over its last five.
  • The New York defense has allowed two errors over the last 10 games, compared to nine errors for Minnesota over its last 10.
  • The Yankees have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Twins have hit eight over their last 10.