New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Los Angeles Angels are set to host the New York Yankees at Angel Stadium of Anaheim. This AL matchup can be viewed across the country on Fox Sports One and the game gets underway 9:07 p.m. ET.

New York Yankees at Los Angeles Angels Odds

Los Angeles (-110) is favored over New York (+100) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs. The odds for betting on the games total sit at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the games runline with the most recent odds sitting at Yankees +1.5 runs (-210) and Angels +-1.5 runs (+175).

The Angels are 16-10 SU and 13-12 ATS. They’ve gained 6.8 units for moneyline bettors and 1.9 units against the spread (ATS). Los Angeles has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Yankees are 16-9 SU and have gone 13-11 ATS. In total, the teams gained 0.1 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 0.2 units ATS. New Yorkhas covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven.

Los Angeles games have an over/under record of 14-11 so far in 2018. New York has been a decent over bet with a total record of 16-7-1.

The right-handed Masahiro Tanaka will get the start for the visiting Yankees. Tanaka is 3-2 with a 4.97 ERA and 28 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Angels this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 1.35 ERA and eight strikeouts across 6.2 innings).

The Angels are sending righty Garrett Richards (3-0, 3.46 ERA) to the mound. Richards has 35 strikeouts and 16 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.31. Richards did not record a start against the Yankees in 2017.

Los Angeles pitching staff has allowed 4.3 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.84, a WHIP of 1.39 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.5. The bullpen has a 3.27 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.8 K/9.

The Los Angeles hitters are putting up 4.9 runs per outing, including 2.5 per game over its last 10 games and 3.4 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .175/.246/.319 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Outfielder Mike Trout and shortstop Andrelton Simmons have led the Angels hitters this year. Trout is slashing .293/.398/.646 with 10 home runs, 18 RBIs, 21 runs and five steals, while Simmons is batting .315 with three homers, 15 RBIs and 17 runs scored.

Trout enjoyed hitting against righties at home last year, slashing .352/.468/.753 across 203 such plate appearances (his overall season line was .306/.442/.629).

In the other dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.04 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.35 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.64, along with a WHIP of 1.25 and a K/9 of 12.80.

Yankees hitters have slashed .260/.352/.471 on their way to 6.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 6.1 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 7.4 per game over the teams last five outings (5-0 SU).

New York’s hitters have been powered by shortstop Didi Gregorius and right fielder Aaron Judge, who’ve collectively swatted 17 home runs. Gregorius is hitting .368/.459/.828 with 10 home runs, 30 RBIs and 23 runs scored, while Judge is slashing .319/.462/.604 with seven homers, 17 RBIs and 22 runs scored.

Putting up a slash line of .350/.377/.596 across 215 plate appearances, Gregorius performed well against righty pitching on the road last season (his overall season line was .287/.317/.478).

The Yankees have lost 0.7 units and are 8-9 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 11 of those games, compared to five that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Angels have netted 5.5 units and are 11-8 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 11 of those games, compared to eight that went under.

New York Yankees at Los Angeles Angels Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Angels, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Yankees have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games, including 12 over their last five.
  • Los Angeles has posted 13.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 14.6 over its last five.