New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The New York Yankees are making a road trip to Houston to face the Astros at Minute Maid Park. The game gets underway 8:10 p.m. ET and ATTSN Southwest will be airing this AL matchup.

New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros Odds

New York (+140) is entering this game as the underdog against Houston (-150) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at nine runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Gamblers can also wager on the games runline with the odds sitting at -155 for the Yankees +1.5 runs and +135 for the Astros -1.5.

The Yankees have gone 18-9 SU this year and are 14-12 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 2.1 units for moneyline gamblers over the early part of the season and 0.6 units ATS. New York has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Astros, on the other hand, are 19-10 SU and 15-13 ATS. They’ve lost 1.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 0.0 units ATS. Houston has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in three of those seven.

Houston games have an over/under record of 11-15-2 so far in 2018. New York has been a decent over bet with a total record of 17-8-1.

The right-handed Sonny Gray is getting the nod for New York. Gray is 1-1 with a 7.71 ERA and 19 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Astros this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 9.00 ERA and five strikeouts over five innings).

The Astros are going with righty Charlie Morton (3-0, 1.86 ERA), who has 35 strikeouts and 11 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.10. Morton only made one start against the Yankees in 2017 (1-0, 6.35 ERA and 10 strikeouts across 5.2 innings).

New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.80 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 8.41 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.46, along with a WHIP of 1.21.

Yankees hitters have slashed .259/.350/.466 on their way to 6.0 runs scored per game this year, including 6.9 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 5.6 per game over the teams last five outings (5-0 SU).

Shortstop Didi Gregorius and outfielder Aaron Judge have led New York’s offense. Gregorius is hitting .340/.436/.766 with 10 home runs, 30 RBIs and 24 runs scored, while Judge is hitting .317 with seven homers, 18 RBIs and 24 runs scored.

Gregorius performed well against righty pitching on the road last year, putting up a slash line of .350/.377/.596 across 215 such plate appearances (his total season line was .287/.317/.478).

For the home team, Houston’s pitchers have given up 2.8 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 2.50, a WHIP of 1.01 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.8. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 2.80, a WHIP of 1.03 and a K/9 of 9.6.

The Houston offense is putting up 5.1 runs per outing, including 6.8 per game over its last 10 games and 6.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .273/.364/.484 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Shortstop Carlos Correa and second baseman Jose Altuve have led the way for the Astros batters so far. Correa is hitting .320/.387/.520 with four home runs, 20 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Altuve’s line sits at .351/.409/.447 with 40 hits, 15 RBIs and 16 runs.

Altuve appeared to have some trouble facing righty pitching at home last year, slashing .296/.358/.412 over 260 such plate appearances (compared to his total season line of .345/.409/.547).

The Yankees have gained 0.3 units and are 9-9 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 12 of those games, compared to five that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Astros have lost 0.2 units and are 10-8 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in seven of those games, compared to 10 which went under the total.

New York Yankees at Houston Astros Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • New York has posted 25.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 22.0 over its last five.
  • The Yankees have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games. The Astros have hit 16 over their last 10.