New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The New York Yankees are heading west to Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox. This AL matchup will get underway at 8:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to WGN to catch the game.

New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox Odds

New York (-180) is entering this game as the favorite over Chicago (+170) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Gamblers can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at -125 for the Yankees -1.5 runs and +105 for the White Sox +1.5.

The Yankees have gone 68-42 SU this year and are 54-56 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle very much this year, losing 2.6 units for moneyline gamblers and 8.8 units ATS. New York has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in three of those seven. The White Sox, on the other hand, are 41-70 SU and 56-55 ATS. The team’s lost 15.5 units for moneyline bettors and 5.8 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.

White Sox games have an over/under record of 53-53-5 in 2018. The Yankees have been a decent under bet with a total record of 48-56-6.

CC Sabathia will get the start for New York. The southpaw Sabathia is 6-4 with a 3.59 ERA and 87 strikeouts. He has yet to face the White Sox this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The White Sox will turn to righty Reynaldo Lopez (4-9, 4.47 ERA), who’s got 90 strikeouts and 57 walks as well as a 1.37 WHIP. Lopez did not record a start against the Yankees in 2017.

As a unit, Chicago’s pitching staff has allowed 5.4 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.14, a WHIP of 1.43 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 6.5. The bullpen has a 4.68 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.

The Chicago hitters are putting up 4.1 runs per contest, including 5.2 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .235/.322/.463 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

First baseman Jose Abreu and third baseman Yolmer Sanchez have led the White Sox hitters this year. Abreu is hitting .270/.331/.485 with 19 home runs, 63 RBIs and 60 runs scored, while Sanchez’s line is .244/.301/.383 with six homers, 43 RBIs, 38 runs and 10 steals.

In the other dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.10 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.87 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.14, along with a K/9 of 11.54.

The Yankees offense has slashed .253/.334/.454 on its way to 5.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (0-5 SU).

New York’s offensive production has been sparked by Giancarlo Stanton and Miguel Andujar, who’ve collectively launched 39 home runs. Stanton is slashing .280/.342/.512 with 25 home runs, 67 RBIs and 68 runs scored, while Andujar (.291/.322/.493) has produced 14 homers, 48 RBIs and 50 runs scored.

The Yankees have lost 15.2 units and are 39-39 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 35 of those games, compared to 40 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the White Sox have lost 8.7 units and are 12-15 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 13 of those games, compared to 14 that went under.

New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in four of Chicago’s last seven games.
  • Chicago has recorded 23 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20 over its last five.
  • The Yankees have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.