New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Matchup

The New York Yankees will be taking on their divisional rival Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. The matchup will begin at 7:10 p.m. ET and Pix11 will televise the game.

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Odds

Boston (-115) is the favorite against New York (+105) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 8 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Gamblers can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at -200 for the Yankees +1.5 runs and +170 for the Red Sox -1.5.

The Red Sox are 9-1 SU and 3-6 ATS. The team’s gained 6.3 units for moneyline bettors while earning 3.0 units against the spread (ATS). Boston has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Yankees have gone 5-6 SU this year and are 5-5 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 2.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline this year and 1.8 units ATS. New York is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in six of those seven.

Boston games have a 4-5 over/under record so far in 2018. Yankees games have gone over six times, gone under four times and pushed on zero instances.

The Yankees have gained 2.0 units and are 2-0 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in one of those games, compared to one that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Red Sox have netted 5.3 units and are 3-5 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in four of those games, compared to four that’ve gone under.

The right-handed Masahiro Tanaka (1-1, 2.92 ERA) will get the start for New York. Tanaka struck out 194 hitters in 178 innings last year (with only 41 walks) but finished the season 13-12 overall with a 4.74 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. He made four starts against Boston in 2017 and put together a 2-2 record against the Red Sox with a 2.83 ERA and 17 strikeouts.

The BoSox have tabbed lefty David Price (1-0, 0.00 ERA) as their starter. Price recorded 76 strikeouts across 74 innings last year (with only 24 walks), while finishing the season 6-3 overall with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP. He made two starts against the Yankees a year ago and put up a 1-1 record with a 4.15 ERA and 12 strikeouts.

As a unit, Boston’s pitchers have allowed 2.7 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 1.68 ERA, 1.03 WHIP and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.89 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In eight games against divisional foes, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 1.69 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.50.

The Boston offense is putting up 5.6 runs per contest, including 7.8 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .279/.366/.453 over its last five matchups and is 5-0 SU during that stretch.

The Red Sox offense has been led by outfielder Mookie Betts and shortstop Xander Bogaerts. Betts is slashing .432/.533/.730 with 16 hits, six RBIs and 13 runs scored, while the line for Bogaerts stands at .368/.400/.711 with 14 hits, nine RBIs and seven runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.68 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.51 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.16, along with a K/9 of 13.30.

Yankees hitters have slashed .241/.332/.410 on their way to 5.1 runs scored per game this year, including over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Shortstop Didi Gregorius and right fielder Aaron Judge have led New York’s offense. Gregorius is hitting .389/.522/.861 with 14 hits, 10 RBIs and 10 runs scored, while Judge (.333/.462/.595) is up to 14 hits, three homers, eight RBIs and nine runs scored.

Compared to his total season slash line of .287/.317/.478, Gregorius did not perform especially well against lefty pitching on the road last season, putting up a slash line of .235/.278/.324 across 72 such plate appearances.

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Red Sox went 8-11 SU against the Yankees last season.
  • The Yankees have lost four of their last five games SU.
  • The Red Sox’ bullpen recorded 5.24 ERA against the Yankees last year.