New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Boston Red Sox are playing host to their division rival New York Yankees at Fenway Park. The matchup can be viewed across the country on Fox and the game gets underway 1:05 p.m. ET.

New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Odds

The Red Sox are 107-53 straight up (SU) and 93-66 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 33.4 units for moneyline bettors and 24.4 units (ATS). Boston has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Yankees, on the other hand, are 99-61 SU and have gone 78-81 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 10.8 units for moneyline bettors and 13.8 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Red Sox games have an over/under record of 74-77-8 in 2018. The Yankees have an over/under record of 74-78-7.

Lance Lynn will get the nod for New York. The right-handed Lynn is 9-10 with a 4.80 ERA and 157 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 1.64 ERA against Boston this year (two starts).

The Red Sox are handing the ball to righty Nathan Eovaldi (6-7, 3.88 ERA), who’s got 97 punchouts and 20 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.14. Eovaldi is 1-1 with 14 strikeouts and a 2.11 ERA over three starts against New York this year.

Boston’s pitchers have given up 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.79, a WHIP of 1.22 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.6. The bullpen has a 3.69 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In 74 games against AL East opponents, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 3.79 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.22.

Boston’s offense is putting up 5.4 runs per outing, including 5.5 per game against divisional foes and 7.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .280/.374/.505 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Red Sox hitters have been led by J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts. Martinez is hitting .330/.402/.626 with 42 home runs, 127 RBIs and 109 runs scored, while Betts is hitting .346 with 32 homers, 80 RBIs, 128 runs and 30 steals.

For the visitors, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.02 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.19 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.36, along with a WHIP of 1.25.

The Yankees offense has slashed .249/.333/.452 on its way to 5.3 runs scored per game this season, including 5.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 8.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Miguel Andujar and Giancarlo Stanton continue to lead New York’s hitters. Andujar is slashing .296/.328/.525 with 27 home runs, 90 RBIs and 81 runs scored, while Stanton (.263/.341/.501) has produced 37 homers, 98 RBIs and 101 runs scored.

The Yankees have lost 12.7 units and are 59-56 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 55 of those games, as opposed to 57 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Red Sox have netted 32.4 units and are 74-49 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 58 of those games, compared to 59 that’ve gone under.

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has cashed in only two of Boston’s last seven games.
  • The Yankees have hit 22 home runs in their last 10 games, including 13 over their last five.
  • Boston has averaged 26.2 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 contests and 28.2 over its last five.
  • The Yankees have won four of their last five games SU.