New York Yankees at New York Mets Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The struggling New York Mets are trying to avoid losing their eighth straight game as they play host to the New York Yankees at Citi Field. This interleague showdown can be viewed across the country on Fox and the game gets underway 7:15 p.m. ET.

New York Yankees vs. New York Mets Odds

The Yankees (-150) are coming into this one as the favorite over the Mets (+140) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the current runline odds coming in at Yankees -1.5 runs (-105) and Mets +1.5 runs (-115).

The Yankees are 41-18 SU and are 33-25 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 12.3 units for moneyline bettors and 6.7 units ATS. They have covered the spread six times in their last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Mets, on the other hand, are 27-33 SU and 26-32 ATS. They’ve lost 9.4 units for moneyline bettors and 6.8 units ATS. They’ve covered the spread just once in their last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Mets games have had an over/under record of 25-32-1 so far in 2018. Yankees games have gone over 31 times, gone under 24 times and pushed on three instances.

The right-handed Domingo German is the probable starter for New York. German is 0-4 with a 5.44 ERA and 44 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mets this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Mets are sending lefty Steven Matz (2-4, 3.42 ERA) to the mound. Matz has 48 strikeouts and 23 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.23. Matz only made one start against the Yankees in 2017 (0-1, 16.20 ERA and four strikeouts across 3.1 innings).

As a unit, the Mets pitching staff has given up 4.5 runs per game overall in 2018. Their starters have a 3.78 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.55 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.

New York’s offense has put up 3.9 runs per contest, including 2.6 per game over its last 10 games and 0.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .130/.210/.189 over its last five contests and is 0-5 SU during that span.

Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario have led the Mets batters this year. Cabrera is hitting .286/.327/.494 with 10 home runs, 34 RBIs and 30 runs scored, and Rosario is batting .247 with three homers, 18 RBIs and 23 runs.

In the other dugout, the Yankees pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and their starting pitchers own a 3.88 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 8.85 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.11, along with a K/9 of 12.03.

Yankees hitters have slashed .254/.337/.465 on their way to 5.6 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.7 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 4.6 per game over the teams last five contests (4-1 SU).

New York’s hitters have been led by Aaron Judge and Miguel Andujar, who’ve collectively swatted 24 home runs. Judge is hitting .271/.399/.561 with 17 home runs, 44 RBIs and 43 runs scored, while Andujar (.301/.332/.536) is up to seven homers, 26 RBIs and 29 runs scored.

The Yankees have gained 6.9 units and are 10-8 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in seven of those games, compared to nine that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 5.1 units and are 18-23 ATS when facing a righty starter. The overs hit in 18 of those games, compared to 22 that went under the total.

New York Yankees vs. New York Mets MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Yankees have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.
  • The Mets have recorded 15.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over their last 10 outings and 9.4 over their last five.
  • The Yankees have won eight of their last nine games SU while the Mets have lost eight of their last nine SU.