New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The struggling Baltimore Orioles will try to avoid losing their seventh consecutive game as they play host to the New York Yankees at Camden Yards. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be airing the matchup and the game gets going at 4:05 p.m. ET.

New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles Odds

Baltimore (+160) is coming into this one as the underdog against New York (-170) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this day game at 9.5 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the games runline with the most recent odds standing at Yankees -1.5 runs (-120) and Orioles +1.5 runs (+100).

The Orioles are 17-40 SU and 20-36 ATS. The teams lost 21.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 19.6 units against the spread (ATS). Baltimore has covered the spread just twice in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Yankees, on the other hand, are 36-17 SU and have gone 28-24 ATS. Overall, the teams gained 9.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 2.9 units ATS. New York is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has cashed in three of those seven.

Orioles games have an over/under record of 24-30-2 so far in 2018. The Yankees have been a decent over bet with a total record of 29-20-3.

Right-hander Masahiro Tanaka will get the nod for the visiting Yankees. Tanaka is 6-2 with a 4.62 ERA and 58 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with seven strikeouts and a 4.26 ERA against Baltimore this year (three starts).

The Orioles will turn to righty Kevin Gausman (3-4, 4.31 ERA), who has 59 strikeouts and 17 walks as well as a 1.38 WHIP. Gausman is 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA across one starts against New York this year.

As a unit, Baltimore’s pitchers have given up 5.3 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 5.43 ERA, 1.56 WHIP and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.28 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 8.3 K/9. In 24 divisional games, Orioles starters have an ERA of 5.87 and the bullpens ERA is 3.12.

The Baltimore offense has put up 3.7 runs per outing, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 1.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .209/.282/.291 over its last five games and is 0-5 SU during that stretch.

The Orioles hitters have been led by shortstop Manny Machado and right fielder Adam Jones. Machado is slashing .329/.398/.626 with 17 home runs, 46 RBIs and 31 runs scored, and Jones is batting .278 with nine homers, 26 RBIs and 24 runs.

In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 4.04 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.77 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.33, along with a K/9 of 12.16.

The Yankees offense has slashed .257/.340/.467 on its way to 5.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the teams last five contests (4-1 SU).

New York’s offensive production been led by Aaron Judge and Miguel Andujar. Judge is slashing .290/.419/.590 with 16 home runs, 41 RBIs and 42 runs scored, while Andujar is hitting .290/.310/.494 with five homers, 18 RBIs and 26 runs scored.

Judge did not do as well batting on the road last year. Across 343 plate appearances, he put up a slash line of .257/.405/.533 (his overall season line was .284/.422/.627).

The Yankees have gained 2.2 units and are 18-16 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 22 of those games, compared to 11 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 16.6 units and are 13-24 ATS when facing a righty starter. The overs hit in 15 of those games, compared to 21 that went under.

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER

etting Trends

  • The Yankees have hit 21 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit five over their last 10.
  • New York fielders have 10 errors over the last 10 games, compared to two errors for Baltimore over its last 10.