New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays Free Pick

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The Toronto Blue Jays will play host to the New York Yankees at Rogers Centre. The game gets underway 7:07 p.m. ET and YES Network will be showing the matchup.

New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays Odds

Vegas is listing New York (-185) as the favorite over Toronto (+175). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -125 for over 10 runs and +105 for under 10. You can also bet on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at Yankees -1.5 runs (-130) and Blue Jays +1.5 runs (+110).

The Yankees have gone 97-51 SU this year and are 84-62 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 20.6 units for moneyline gamblers and 23.6 units ATS. New York has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, are 57-90 SU and 72-74 ATS. The team’s lost 20.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.8 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.

Toronto games have had an over/under record of 65-73-8 in 2019. The Yankees have been a good over bet with a total record of 78-64-4.

Right-hander Masahiro Tanaka will get the nod for the visiting Bronx Bombers. Tanaka (10-8, 4.53 ERA) has racked up 135 strikeouts in 166 innings so far. He’s 2-1 with 11 strikeouts and a 2.70 ERA against Toronto this year (three starts).

The Blue Jays are putting the ball in the hands of Anthony Kay (0-0, 3.18 ERA), who has eight strikeouts and three walks this season as well as a 1.24 WHIP. Kay has yet to face the Yankees this year and did not accrue any MLB appearances last season.

As a unit, Toronto’s pitching staff has given up 5.0 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 5.12, a WHIP of 1.48 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.4. The bullpen has a 4.28 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 61 games against AL East foes, Blue Jays starters have an ERA of 5.20 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.49.

The Toronto hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.8 per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .241/.332/.420 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Randal Grichuk and Freddy Galvis have paced the Blue Jays’ offense this year. Grichuk is slashing .233/.283/.440 with 25 home runs, 66 RBIs and 65 runs scored, and Galvis is batting .267 with 18 homers, 54 RBIs and 55 runs.

In the other dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.62 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.97 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.07, along with a K-per-9 of 9.88.

The Yankees offense has slashed .270/.343/.493 on its way to 5.8 runs scored per game this year, including 6.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 8.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

New York’s offensive production has been fueled by second baseman DJ LeMahieu and shortstop Gleyber Torres, who have combined to belt 60 home runs. LeMahieu is hitting .325/.374/.517 with 24 home runs, 92 RBIs and 101 runs scored, while Torres is hitting .287/.346/.547 with 36 homers, 85 RBIs and 91 runs scored.

The Blue Jays have lost 20.9 units and are 48-49 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 44 of those games, as opposed to 47 that’ve hit the under against righties.

Yankees at Blue Jays Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has cashed in three of New York’s last seven contests.
  • The Yankees have hit 24 home runs in their last 10 games, including 15 over their last five.
  • New York has recorded 24.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 31.2 over its last five.
  • The Yankees have won five of their last six games SU.