New York Yankees at Seattle Mariners Free Pick

Jonathan GarosBaseball, MLB

The Seattle Mariners are set to host the New York Yankees at Safeco Field. The game will start at 10:10 p.m. ET and this AL matchup will be shown on RTNW and YES.

New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners Odds

Vegas is listing Seattle (-110) as the favorite over New York (+100). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at +100 for over 7.5 runs and -120 for under 7.5. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at Yankees +1.5 runs (-210) and Mariners -1.5 runs (+175).

The Mariners are 78-62 straight up (SU) and 68-72 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 12.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 10.9 units (ATS). Seattle has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total went over in four of those seven. The Yankees, on the other hand, are 87-53 SU and have gone 69-71 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 6.3 units for moneyline bettors and 12.2 units ATS. New York has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Mariners games have an over/under record of 69-69-2 in 2018. The Yankees have been a decent under bet with a total record of 63-70-7.

Masahiro Tanaka is getting the nod for the Bronx Bombers. The right-handed Tanaka (10-5, 3.83 ERA) has recorded 134 punchouts in 134 innings so far. He has yet to face Seattle this year, but he did make two starts against the Mariners in 2017, compiling a 1-0 record against them with a 3.46 ERA and 16 strikeouts.

The Mariners are turning to lefty James Paxton (11-5, 3.74 ERA), who’s got 186 strikeouts and 41 walks to his name as well as a WHIP of 1.11. Paxton is 0-1 with nine strikeouts and a 7.20 ERA in one start against New York this year.

As a unit, Seattle’s pitchers have given up 4.5 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.33, a WHIP of 1.26 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.8. The bullpen has a 4.01 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.

Seattle’s hitters are putting up 4.1 runs per contest, including 3.8 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .250/.330/.405 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Shortstop Jean Segura and right fielder Mitch Haniger have paced the Mariners’ hitters this year. Segura is slashing .314/.345/.430 with nine home runs, 60 RBIs, 82 runs and 20 steals, and Haniger is batting .279 with 24 homers, 85 RBIs and 74 runs.

In the other dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.17 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.25 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.17, along with a K/9 of 11.34.

The Yankees offense has slashed .250/.331/.449 on its way to 5.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Giancarlo Stanton and Miguel Andujar continue to lead New York’s hitters. Stanton is slashing .270/.344/.511 with 33 home runs, 84 RBIs and 87 runs scored, while Andujar is hitting .297/.331/.523 with 23 homers, 76 RBIs and 74 runs scored.

The Yankees have gained 3.6 units and are 17-23 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 17 of those games, compared to 19 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mariners have netted 15.3 units and are 46-49 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 51 of those games, compared to 43 that went under.

New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends,

  • New York has logged 10 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Seattle has 16 XBH over its last five.
  • The Yankees have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mariners have hit nine over their last 10.
  • New York has posted 16.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 15.0 over its last five.