New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Free Pick

Jonathan GarosBaseball, MLB

The Boston Red Sox will play host to their division foe New York Yankees at Fenway Park. The game gets underway 7:10 p.m. ET and New England Sports Network will broadcast the matchup.

New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Odds

New York (+120) is entering this game as the underdog against Boston (-130) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this game at 10 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -125 for the under and +105 for the over. Runline odds stand at -175 for taking the Yankees +1.5 runs and +155 for the Red Sox -1.5 runs.

The Red Sox are 73-33 straight up (SU) and 64-45 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 25.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 18.2 units (ATS). The Yankees have gone 66-37 SU this year and are 54-51 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 4.3 units for moneyline gamblers, but have lost 2.1 units ATS.

Boston games have an over/under record of 50-56-3 in 2018. The Yankees have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 46-54-5.

The right-handed Luis Severino is the projected starter for the visiting Bronx Bombers. Severino (14-4, 2.94 ERA) has recorded 157 strikeouts in 137.2 innings so far. He’s 1-1 with 23 strikeouts and a 3.57 ERA against Boston this year (three starts).

The Red Sox will send lefty Chris Sale (11-4, 2.04 ERA) to the mound. Sale has 207 punchouts and 33 walks to his name, as well as a 0.87 WHIP. Sale is 2-0 with 19 strikeouts and a 0.69 ERA over two starts against New York this year.

Boston’s pitchers have yielded 3.7 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have a 3.61 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.42 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 47 divisional games, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 3.58 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.09.

Boston’s offense has produced 5.3 runs per contest, including 5.2 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over its last five. The team has hit .254/.337/.491 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Red Sox batters have been led by J.D. Martinez, who is hitting .324/.387/.642 with 32 home runs, 86 RBIs and 76 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.05 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.95 K/9. The bullpen has an outstanding ERA of just 2.86, along with a WHIP of 1.24.

The Yankees offense has slashed .256/.336/.459 on its way to 5.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Giancarlo Stanton has led New York’s offense. Stanton is slashing .279/.345/.511 with 24 home runs, 63 RBIs and 63 runs scored.

The Red Sox are coming off of a 10-4 win against the Twins, while the Yankees just got a 5-4 victory over the Royals.

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends,

  • The over has hit in only two of Boston’s last seven games.
  • The Yankees have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have hit 13 over their last 10.
  • Boston has posted 21.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 22.4 over its last five.