New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The New York Yankees will be squaring off against their AL East nemesis Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. The action can be viewed across the country on Fox Sports One and the opening pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET.

New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Odds

Oddsmakers are listing New York (+130) as the underdog to Boston (-140). Gamblers are able to wager on the games total with odds posted at -120 for over 10 runs and even money (+100) for under 10. Runline odds stand at -170 for taking the Yankees +1.5 runs and +150 for the Red Sox -1.5.

The Red Sox are 76-34 straight up (SU) and 65-45 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 26.2 units for moneyline bettors and 19.9 units (ATS). Boston has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Yankees are 68-39 SU and have gone 54-53 ATS. Overall, the teams gained 0.7 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, but have lost 5.5 units ATS. New York is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.

Red Sox games have an over/under record of 51-56-3 in 2018. The Yankees have been a decent under bet with a total record of 48-54-5.

New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.08 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.91 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.13, along with a K-per-9 of 11.50.

Yankees hitters have slashed .256/.336/.460 on their way to 5.2 runs scored per game this year, including 5.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over the teams last five outings (3-2 SU).

New York’s offense has been powered by Giancarlo Stanton and Didi Gregorius. Stanton is hitting .279/.343/.512 with 25 home runs, 66 RBIs and 67 runs scored, while Gregorius (.270/.330/.487) is up to 20 homers, 64 RBIs, 67 runs and 10 stolen bases.

For the home team, Boston’s pitching staff has allowed 3.7 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 3.57 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.35 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 48 games against AL East foes, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 3.65 and the bullpens ERA is 4.10.

The Boston hitters are putting up 5.3 runs per outing, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 6.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .292/.362/.495 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts have led the Red Sox hitters this year. Martinez is hitting .327/.395/.643 with 32 home runs, 90 RBIs and 78 runs scored, while Betts has produced a line of .346/.431/.654 with 25 homers, 57 RBIs, 87 runs and 21 stolen bases.

The Yankees have lost 12.9 units and are 39-37 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The overs hit in 35 of those games, compared to 38 that’ve hit the under against y starters.

New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • New York has recorded 16 extra-base hits over its last five games. Boston has 28 XBH over its last five.
  • The Red Sox have won five of their last six games SU.
  • Boston has posted 24.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 28.6 over its last five.
  • The Yankees have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.