New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Washington Nationals are facing off against the New York Mets at Nationals Park. The matchup will get underway at 7:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will broadcast the game.

New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals Odds

New York (+155) is entering this game as the underdog to Washington (-165) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). You can also wager on the games runline with the most recent odds sitting at -140 for the Mets +1.5 runs and +120 for the Nationals -1.5.

The Mets are 43-59 SU and have gone 47-55 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 17.4 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 13.2 units ATS. New York’s covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 52-52 SU and 49-56 ATS. The team has lost 20.5 units for moneyline bettors and 10.3 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Washington games have an over/under record of 43-60-2 in 2018. The Mets have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 44-53-5.

Steven Matz will get the nod for New York. The left-handed Matz (5-8, 3.79 ERA) has racked up 97 strikeouts in 106 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with 18 strikeouts and a 3.52 ERA against Washington this year (three starts).

The Nationals are planning to start righty Tanner Roark (4-12, 4.55 ERA), who has 109 strikeouts and 44 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.34. Roark is 0-1 with 20 strikeouts and a 5.82 ERA across three starts against New York this year.

Washington’s pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The clubs starters have an ERA of 3.97, a WHIP of 1.24 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.2. The bullpen has a 3.64 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 8.7 K/9. In 42 games against divisional foes, Nationals starters have an ERA of 4.58 and the bullpens ERA is 4.04.

Washington’s offense is putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 5.1 per game against divisional foes and 6.2 per game over its last five. The team has hit .258/.356/.449 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon have paced the Nationals offense this year. Turner is slashing .267/.338/.412 with 13 home runs, 43 RBIs, 60 runs and 24 stolen bases, and Rendon is hitting .284 with 15 homers, 47 RBIs and 47 runs.

In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.01 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.98 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.77, along with a K/9 of 8.48.

Mets hitters have slashed .229/.311/.379 on their way to 4.0 runs scored per game this season, including 3.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over the teams last five contests (3-2 SU).

Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario continue to lead New York’s offense. Cabrera is slashing .277/.329/.488 with 18 home runs, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored. Rosario (.245/.288/.370) has produced four homers, 27 RBIs, 39 runs and nine stolen bases.

The Mets have lost 11.1 units and are 34-41 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 32 of those games, compared to 38 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 14.8 units and are 10-18 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 12 of those games, as opposed to 15 which went under the total.

New York Mets at Washington Nationals MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • New York has tallied 16 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Washington has 19 XBH over its last five.
  • The Mets have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.
  • Washington has posted 23.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 24.6 over its last five.