New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The St. Louis Cardinals are playing host to the New York Mets at Busch Stadium. SportsNet New York is in line to televise this NL showdown. The game is scheduled to get underway at 1:15 p.m. ET.

New York Mets at St. Louis Cardinals Odds

New York (+105) is the underdog against St. Louis (-115) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 7 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -110 for both the over and the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at Mets +1.5 runs (-200) and Cardinals +-1.5 runs (+170).

The Cardinals are 14-9 SU and 12-10 ATS. They’ve gained 1.8 units for moneyline bettors and 0.4 units against the spread (ATS). St. Louis has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Mets, on the other hand, are 15-7 SU and have gone 13-8 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 9.7 units for moneyline gamblers through the early portions of the season and 7.3 units ATS. New York is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Cardinals games have an over/under record of 11-11 so far in 2018. The Mets have an over/under record of 11-10.

The right-handed Noah Syndergaard is the projected starter for the visiting Mets. Syndergaard is 2-0 with a 3.29 ERA and 39 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 6.00 ERA against St. Louis this year.

The Cardinals are handing the ball to righty Carlos Martinez (2-1, 1.42 ERA), who has 37 strikeouts and 17 walks, as well as a 1.14 WHIP. Martinez is 0-1 with five strikeouts and an 8.31 ERA in one start against New York this year.

St. Louis’ pitching staff has given up 3.5 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 3.21, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.5. The bullpen has a 3.43 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 9.0 K/9.

The St. Louis hitters are putting up 5.0 runs per outing, including 5.5 per game over its last 10 games and 6.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .274/.370/.482 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.

The Cardinals’ hitters have been led by right fielder Tommy Pham and shortstop Paul DeJong. Pham is slashing .343/.471/.514 with 24 hits, seven RBIs, 19 runs and five stolen bases, while DeJong is batting .271 with seven homers, 14 RBIs and 15 runs.

Pham didn’t do very well against right-handed pitchers at home last year. In 183 such plate appearances, he slashed .257/.377/.355 (his total season line was .306/.411/.520).

In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 4.01 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 10.13 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.35, along with a WHIP of 1.18.

Mets hitters have slashed .234/.332/.382 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and third baseman Todd Frazier have led New York’s hitters. Cabrera is slashing .349/.391/.590 with four home runs, 12 RBIs and 16 runs scored, while Frazier (.264/.415/.458) has produced three homers, 14 RBIs and 14 runs scored.

Frazier performed well against right-handed pitching on the road last season. Over 228 such plate appearances, he maintained a slash line of .261/.386/.505 (compared to his overall season line of .214/.345/.425).

The Mets have gained 6.3 units and are 9-7 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in nine of those games, compared to seven that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Cardinals have lost 0.1 units and are 8-8 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in nine of those games, compared to seven that’ve gone under.

New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The Mets have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Cardinals have hit 13 over their last 10.
  • St. Louis has recorded 22.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 24.2 over its last five.
  • The Cardinals have won four of their last five games SU.