New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The New York Mets will head west to PETCO Park to face the San Diego Padres. SportsNet New York will broadcast this NL matchup and the game gets underway at 10:10 p.m. ET.

New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Odds

San Diego (+140) is coming into this one as the underdog against New York (-150) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 7.5 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at -105 for the Mets -1.5 runs and -115 for the Padres +1.5 runs.

The Mets are 15-8 SU and have gone 13-9 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 8.7 units for gamblers taking the moneyline over the early part of the season and 5.6 units ATS. New York is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Padres, on the other hand, are 9-17 SU and 10-16 ATS. They’ve lost 4.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.6 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Padres games have an over/under record of 11-13-2 so far in 2018. The Mets have an over/under record of 12-10.

Jacob deGrom will get the nod for the visiting Mets. The right-handed deGrom is 2-0 with a 2.53 ERA and 40 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Padres this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 2.25 ERA and eight strikeouts over eight innings).

The Padres will put the ball in the left hand of Clayton Richard (1-2, 5.67 ERA, 1.63 WHIP), who has 22 strikeouts and 13 walks. Richard only made one start against the Mets in 2017 (0-1, 5.63 ERA and eight strikeouts across eight innings).

New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.85 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 10.04 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.36, along with a K/9 of 9.98.

Mets hitters have slashed .231/.328/.372 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and third baseman Todd Frazier have led New York’s hitters. Cabrera is slashing .326/.367/.551 with four home runs, 12 RBIs and 16 runs scored, while Frazier has a .260 average with three homers, 14 RBIs and 14 runs scored.

Cabrera performed well against lefty pitching on the road in 2017, maintaining a slash line of .493/.545/.696 across 77 such plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .280/.351/.434).

For the home team, San Diego’s pitching staff has given up 4.9 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 5.40 ERA, 1.64 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 2.62, a WHIP of 1.05 and a K/9 of 10.2.

San Diego’s hitters have put up 3.8 runs per outing, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .218/.279/.315 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

The Padres’ offense has been led by third baseman Christian Villanueva and first baseman Eric Hosmer. Villanueva is slashing .355/.444/.774 with seven home runs, 16 RBIs and 13 runs scored, and Hosmer’s line is .259/.364/.412 with 22 hits, four RBIs and 12 runs.

Hosmer appeared to enjoy facing righties at home in 2017. Across 221 such plate appearances, he slashed .354/.439/.615 (his total season line was .318/.385/.498).

The Mets have gained 3.5 units and are 4-1 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in two of those games, as opposed to three that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 3.3 units and are 7-9 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in six of those games, compared to eight that went under the total.

New York Mets at San Diego Padres Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The Mets have lost three of their last four games SU while the Padres have lost four of their last five SU.
  • New York has recorded 20.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.8 over its last five.
  • The Mets have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit seven over their last 10.