New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The New York Mets will be squaring off against their division rival Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. Pix11 will showcase the action. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET.

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds

Philadelphia (+140) is coming into this one as the underdog to New York (-150) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 8 runs. The odds for betting on the games total sit at +100 for the under and -120 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the games runline with the odds standing at -105 for the Mets -1.5 runs and -115 for the Phillies +1.5 runs.

The Mets have gone 19-17 SU this year and are 15-20 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline in this young season and 4.7 units ATS. New York’s failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 22-16 SU and 17-20 ATS. They’ve gained 5.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 5.8 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Philadelphia games have an over/under record of 18-16-3 so far in 2018. The Mets have an over/under record of 17-17-1.

Noah Syndergaard will get the start for the visiting Mets. The right-handed Syndergaard is 2-1 with a 3.09 ERA and 54 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Philadelphia this year (two starts).

The Phillies are sending righty Zach Eflin (1-0, 0.71 ERA) to the mound. Eflin has 13 punchouts and three walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 0.79. Eflin has yet to face the Mets this year, but he made two starts against them in 2017, compiling a 0-1 record with a 4.35 ERA and nine strikeouts.

As a unit, Philadelphia’s pitching staff has allowed 3.8 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have a 3.59 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.36 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 9.3 K/9. In 21 games against NL East opponents, Phillies starters have an ERA of 4.10 and the bullpens ERA is 4.48.

The Philadelphia hitters are putting up 4.7 runs per outing, including 3.9 per game against divisional foes and 6.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .287/.374/.509 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

The Phillies offense has been led by outfielders Odubel Herrera and Rhys Hoskins. Herrera is hitting .360/.429/.566 with six home runs, 24 RBIs and 23 runs scored, while Hoskins has produced a line of .268/.418/.472 with five homers, 25 RBIs and 22 runs.

In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.37 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 9.29 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.84, along with a K-per-9 of 9.00.

The Mets offense has slashed .231/.315/.374 on its way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the teams last five outings (2-3 SU).

Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and third baseman Todd Frazier have led New York’s hitters. Cabrera is slashing .326/.375/.551 with six home runs, 22 RBIs and 23 runs scored, while Frazier is hitting .237/.357/.412 with five homers, 21 RBIs and 18 runs scored.

Compared to his total season slash line of .214/.345/.425, Frazier seemed to enjoy hitting righty pitching on the road in 2017, maintaining a slash line of .261/.386/.505 across 228 such plate appearances.

The Mets have lost 1.2 units and are 10-16 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 14 of those games, as opposed to 11 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 1.2 units and are 11-16 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 13 of those games, as opposed to 12 that’ve gone under.

New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • New York has posted 16.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 17.8 over its last five.
  • The Mets have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.